Category Archives: Polls

Dr. Dena Grayson Surges to Commanding Lead in US Congressional Run

Winter Springs, Fla. – The race to replace incumbent US Congressman Alan Grayson has come into clear focus, based on recent polling completed in Florida’s 9th Congressional District. Dr. Dena Grayson, a noted medical researcher and the wife of US Congressman Alan Grayson, holds a dominating 20-point advantage over her closest opponent. Dr. Grayson received overwhelming support from voters throughout the 9th District, which encompasses Osceola County and parts of Orange and Polk Counties.

Dr. Dena Grayson is an accomplished physician and medical researcher, and according to WKMG News, she is one of the leading experts on viruses in Central Florida. Her recent work to combat the Zika virus that threatens Central Floridians, along with her extensive history of researching cures for cancer and other deadly diseases and treating uninsured patients for free, appear to be convincing voters that she is the cure from what ails us in Washington DC.

The recent survey asked 554 registered Democratic voters who are likely to vote in the upcoming August 30th primary, “In the Democratic Primary Election for the U.S. House of Representatives, for whom would you vote?” Voters throughout the district overwhelmingly supported Dr. Dena Grayson, with 31 percent indicating that they would vote for her. Dr. Grayson holds a 20-point lead over her closest competitor, Darren Soto, who only received 11 percent. Opponent Susannah Randolph received just four percent, a level of support statistically equal to zero.  (The remaining voters said that they had yet to make up their minds as to which candidate to support.)

Among voters who expressed a preference for one of the three Congressional candidates, 67 percent of those polled supported Dr. Dena Grayson. Darren Soto captured only 24 percent support; Susannah Randolph received the support of just nine percent.  Dr. Dena Grayson thus led Darren Soto by 43 percent.

Dr. Grayson led in all demographic segments, including Hispanic voters, where she led with 31 percent, compared to 19 percent for Darren Soto and only two percent for Susannah Randolph. Dr. Grayson also held substantial double-digit leads among Caucasian and African-American voters, as well as among both male and female voters.

Although she already enjoys a commanding lead, the area of favorability showed a significant indication of potential further growth in support. When asked, “Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dr. Dena Grayson,” 62 percent of voters indicated that they have a favorable opinion of Dr. Grayson, compared to just 12 percent who stated that they have an unfavorable opinion and 26 percent who were unsure. The favorability rating of her closest opponent in the Democrat primary, Darren Soto, is a direct contrast, with 58 percent stating that they have an unfavorable opinion of him, 28 percent unsure and only 13 percent favorable.

The voters were also asked for whom they would vote in the Democratic Primary for US Senate, where Alan Grayson received 46 percent support, more than a four-to-one lead against his closest competitor, Patrick Murphy, who netted just 10 percent support.

Doug Kaplan, the President of Gravis Marketing, offered some analysis of the recent poll for this US Congressional seat, which is being vacated by Rep. Alan Grayson.  “It appears that Dr. Dena Grayson is poised to win the Democratic nomination to be that party’s choice in the primary election, and she is doing so on her own merits,” Kaplan stated. “Dr. Grayson has exceptional credentials to solve the problems and provide peace of mind to people who live in Central Florida.”

Kaplan added, “Her dedication to help improve the health of Americans and increase Social Security and Medicare benefits for senior citizens, along with her established reputation in the medical community (including her key contributions to combat the dangerous Zika virus) has established trust among voters, something that career politicians are struggling to accomplish in this election cycle. This is her first attempt at running for any political office, and it appears that her campaign is doing a fantastic job of informing voters about what she can do for them.”

The poll sampled 554 registered Democratic voters in Florida’s 9th District from June 10th through the 13th and has a margin of error of ± 4.2 at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted using automated telephone calls and was weighted by voting demographics.  The poll was paid for by Friends of Dena, the campaign committee for Dr. Dena Grayson.

You can visit her website at http://www.denaforcongress.com

In the Democratic Primary Election for the U.S. House of Representatives, for whom would you vote?

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Support for the Congressional Candidates among Voters Who Express a Preference:

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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dr. Dena Grayson?

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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Darren Soto?

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In the Democratic Primary Election for the U.S. Senate, for whom would you vote?

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The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

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What race do you identify yourself as?

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How old are you?

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Do you have any children living in your household?

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What is your gender?

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Current National Polling

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 2,197 registered voters across the United States. The poll was conducted on June 16th and has a margin of error of ± 2.1% at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics. The poll was conducted for One America News Network.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s Job Performance?
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Which Presidential candidate will keep America safer from terrorism?
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Which Presidential candidate is more open and transparent?
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Which Presidential candidate is more honest with the American people?
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Which Presidential candidate is more likely to get the economy growing faster?
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Which Presidential candidate is more likely to create more jobs?
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If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
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If the election for President were held today, for whom would you vote?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:

What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Gravis Marketing Poll

Current Utah Polling – June 1st, 2016

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – The State of Utah may hold a significant role in the upcoming Presidential election based on a recent survey completed by Gravis Marketing. The non-partisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. conducted a random survey of 1,519 registered voters in Utah from May 31st through June 1st, 2016. The poll has a margin of error of ± 2.5% at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

As with most our political surveys, the Gravis Marketing poll in Utah first asked all those that participated about their opinions of the job performance of President Barack Obama. When asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance,” 57 percent of Utah voters suggested that they disapprove of his job performance, while 33 percent approve of his job performance. 10 percent of the 1,519 individuals were unsure of their opinion of his job performance.

The State of Utah voters then were asked a similar question about the job performance of their incumbent governor. The majority of Utah voters are currently pleased with the job performance of Gary Herbert as 52 percent of those polled ‘approve’ of his job performance, 29 percent disapprove and 19 percent are currently unsure of his job performance.

The focus of the Gravis poll then shifted to the upcoming Presidential election, with Gravis Marketing asking voters their opinions about whom they would vote for in the general election among prospective nominees (including an open third party nominee and Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson). The first potential match-up asked the voters, “If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?” Donald Trump received the lion’ share of support, with 36 percent indicated they would vote for him, Hillary Clinton received 29 percent. However, 35 percent of those asked in Utah selected the ‘Other’ option – leaving speculation that the traditionally conservative state might select a third party candidate.

Gravis Marketing expanded the list of probable candidates for President of the United States with the second question; “If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?” In this scenario, Donald Trump and the ‘other’ candidate tied with 29 percent each, Hillary Clinton received 26 percent support, while Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate received 16 percent.

Utah voters finally were asked about their choice for the upcoming Governor’s election; “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Mike Weinholtz and Republican Gary Herbert, who would you vote for?” Not surprising, Republican Gary Herbert currently holds a large margin of 27 points, receiving 56 percent support from likely November 2016 voters, with Weinholtz receiving 29 percent and 15 percent selecting an ‘other’ candidate.

Gravis Marketing’s Doug Kaplan offered his analysis of the recent Utah poll. “This is a state where an additional third party candidate could make a serious impact in the general election. We purposely asked the voters about another candidate besides Johnson, and the results showed that a potential ‘other’ candidate could win the state; or take away from Trump. This was the state Trump actually finished third in the caucus. Thanks primarily to the ‘Never Trump’ movement of Mitt Romney or other influential Utah politicians and LDS church members, the Mormon vote could have a significant impact on who is selected as President of the United States.  It’s hard to see Hillary Clinton winning Utah, but Gary Johnson or the inclusion of another third party candidate could hand her those valuable electoral votes.”

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Herbert’s job performance?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Mike Weinholtz and Republican Gary Herbert, who would you vote for?
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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Mike Weinholtz and Republican Jonathan Johnson, who would you vote for?
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Would you support or oppose state legislation that would prevent transgender individuals from utilizing the restroom of their choice?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your political party affiliation?
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What political ideology do you identify yourself as?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Do you identify yourself as a Mormon or another religion?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Virginia Election Poll

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Based on a recent survey seeking the opinions of 1,728 registered voters in Virginia on the upcoming presidential race, the governor’s race, gay conversion therapy, and other issues – it appears that Virginia is likely to become a hotly contested state for both political parties as results were extremely close in many categories. The Gravis Marketing poll was conducted on May 24th and has a margin of error of ± 2% at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics with those being polled obtained through the State of Virginia voting records database.

The first question asked of the pool of registered voters in which 36 percent were Democrats, 32 percent Independents and 31 percent Republicans inquired; “Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance.” As indicated above, the opinions of Virginians were nearly equally divided; with 47 percent disapproving, 46 approving and seven percent unsure. The same voters were then asked about the job performance of Governor Terry McAuliffe. Again, Virginia voters were split, with 42 percent approving, 40 percent disapproving and 18 percent unsure of his job performance.

The focus of the Gravis Marketing poll then shifted to asking registered voters, “If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?” The Virginians polled answered by supporting Hillary Clinton (45 percent) to Donald Trump’s (41 percent). 14 percent of those polled are currently unsure as to which of the two presumptive candidates for President of the United States they’d select come November 2016.

The same 1,728 registered voters that participated in the automated phone calls survey were then asked about a potential third-party run involving Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. In this scenario, Mrs. Clinton increases her lead over Trump by six points, 44 percent to 38 percent, with 12 percent unsure and only six percent selecting Gary Johnson.

The next question asked of Virginia registered voters; “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie, who would you vote for?” In this case, Republican Ed Gillespie currently holds a narrow two-point lead over Democrat Ralph Northam, 40 percent for Gillespie and 38 percent for Northam – with 22 percent of registered Virginian voters choosing an ‘other’ candidate.

Finally, the voters were questioned about their stance on gay conversion therapy, specifically asking those who participated in the Gravis Marketing poll, “Do you think that gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in Virginia?” 64 percent of those that participated in the survey indicated that this initiative should be illegal, only 13 percent would support this type of legislation as being legal for minors, while 23 percent were unsure of their stance on this issue.

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Do you approve or disapprove of Governor McAuliffe’s job performance?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie, who would you vote for?
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Do you think that gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in Virginia?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Gravis Marketing Poll

Florida General Election Poll, Marijuana, and Trans Bathroom

State of Florida registered voters showing disapproval of Florida GOP political leaders and presumptive Presidential nominees according to recent Gravis Marketing survey.  

Winter Springs, Fla. – As the primary season begins to wrap up and the US General Election less than six months away, State of Florida voters appear dissatisfied with current state political leaders and the crop of potential presidential candidates according to a new Gravis Marketing poll. The non-partisan marketing research group from Winter Springs, Fla completed a random predictive dialer survey from May 17th till May 18th that randomly asked 2,542 registered voters about their thoughts on State of Florida political issues and National candidates for President of The United States.

The political robocalls survey has a margin of error of ± 2% and was completed at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics. The survey is of registered voters that were randomly selected from the Florida registered voter database.

The Gravis poll began by asking 2,542 registered voters in Florida, of which 37 percent indicating they were registered Democrat, 35 percent Republican and 28 percent Independent voters about their opinion on current US President Barack Obama and his job performance. Those surveyed in Florida were split down the middle, with 46 percent stating they disapprove of his job performance and the same percentage approving of his job performance. Eight percent of those surveyed were unsure of their opinion.

Due to the fact that the survey was completed in Florida, Gravis Marketing then inquired about the voter opinion of the job performance of current Florida Senator Marco Rubio. A large majority of voters, 56 percent in fact, stated that they disapprove of his performance as a United States Senator representing the State of Florida. 24 percent of those asked were unsure of their opinion while only 20 percent support the statement that they approve of his job performance as a US Senator.  The same voters showed displeasure with former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, as 53 percent of those asked have an unfavorable opinion of him, 28 percent have a favorable opinion and 19 percent were unsure.

The poll then shifted to inquiring about the two presumptive nominees for President of the United States; Donald J. Trump and Hillary Clinton. When asked; ‘do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of (the two individuals)’ Florida voters strongly have an unfavorable opinion of both potential candidates. Donald Trump’s numbers indicated that 54 percent of Florida registered voters currently have an unfavorable opinion, 38 percent having a favorable opinion and eight percent unsure. For Mrs. Clinton, 52 percent stated they have an unfavorable opinion, 40 percent have a favorable opinion and the same eight percent indicated they were unsure.

When asked, ‘if you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote’ – the 2,542 voters currently favor Mrs. Clinton by four percentage points. 46 percent stated they would vote for Clinton, 42 percent would support Donald Trump and 12 percent of those asked is currently undecided.

The survey continued to gauge the opinion of registered Florida voters by asking them their thoughts on current National and State of Florida issues that may impact their opinions of potential nominees for all elected offices come November. The 2016 ballot in the State of Florida will include a constitutional amendment to vote on medical marijuana, a “for” the measure would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical conditions as determined by a licensed state physician. While a vote “against” the measure would prevent the legalization of medical marijuana. The Gravis survey asked all voters that participated in this poll; ‘If you were to vote today, would you vote for or against this constitutional amendment?’ 69 percent of those asked indicated that they would vote for the amendment, 23 percent stated they would vote against the amendment while eight percent were unsure.

The transgender debate was also a hot topic in the Gravis Marketing survey. When asked, ‘would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use bathrooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity’, 32 percent would strongly favor such a proposed law, 25 percent strongly oppose, 14 percent are somewhat favorable, 13 percent somewhat oppose and 16 percent indicated that they were unsure. A final question about supporting legislation that would require transgender individuals to use locker rooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity had nearly identical results.

Gravis Marketing President Doug Kaplan offered the following analysis of the recent Florida polling. “Florida is going to be a huge battleground state for this years Presidential election and this state is a must win for the GOP if they have any hope of regaining the White House. In recent weeks, Trump has done a good job of gathering his base while Clinton is still in a hotly contested battle with Bernie Sanders – which is rapidly dividing the Democrat party. If she is able to take the nomination, she’ll have to work hard to win over some of those Sanders supporters to maintain her lead in Florida.”

Kaplan continued, “The polling numbers that should concern the GOP is the lack of support of Marco Rubio. His 56 percent unfavorable rating as a Senator should raise red flags to the Trump campaign if they are considering adding Marco Rubio as their Vice Presidential nominee in order to win Florida. Rubio was definitely damaged by his Presidential run. These polls show that we are not convinced that he would help Trump as VP nor that he would necessarily win the primary for governor against other potential GOP nominees.”

“Another surprise in this poll shows the rapid changing of the voting segments opinion on medical marijuana,” concluded Kaplan. “One year ago when we asked a similar question, the state constitution measure was in danger of failing, as less than 60 percent of those polled would vote for it. Today, it appears that this ballot initiative is fairly on it’s way of passing. It’s amazing to see how much the public sentiment  has changed in the last 8 years. I think the key to winning Florida will be whether Trump can increase his GOP party support by picking a strong VP candidate, but more importantly – whether he has a way to draw in the majority of those 12 percent of undecided voters; most of whom are likely Independents.”

The results for each poll as well as demographic information of those who participated in this survey are listed below for review.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Do approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
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The 2016 ballot in the State of Florida will include a constitutional amendment to vote on medical marijuana, a “for” the measure would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical conditions as determined by a licensed state physician. While a vote “against” the measure would prevent the legalization of medical marijuana. If you were to vote today, would you vote for or against this constitutional amendment?
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Would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use bathrooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity?
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Would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use locker rooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity?
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If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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