Category Archives: Polls

Virginia Election Poll

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Based on a recent survey seeking the opinions of 1,728 registered voters in Virginia on the upcoming presidential race, the governor’s race, gay conversion therapy, and other issues – it appears that Virginia is likely to become a hotly contested state for both political parties as results were extremely close in many categories. The Gravis Marketing poll was conducted on May 24th and has a margin of error of ± 2% at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics with those being polled obtained through the State of Virginia voting records database.

The first question asked of the pool of registered voters in which 36 percent were Democrats, 32 percent Independents and 31 percent Republicans inquired; “Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance.” As indicated above, the opinions of Virginians were nearly equally divided; with 47 percent disapproving, 46 approving and seven percent unsure. The same voters were then asked about the job performance of Governor Terry McAuliffe. Again, Virginia voters were split, with 42 percent approving, 40 percent disapproving and 18 percent unsure of his job performance.

The focus of the Gravis Marketing poll then shifted to asking registered voters, “If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?” The Virginians polled answered by supporting Hillary Clinton (45 percent) to Donald Trump’s (41 percent). 14 percent of those polled are currently unsure as to which of the two presumptive candidates for President of the United States they’d select come November 2016.

The same 1,728 registered voters that participated in the automated phone calls survey were then asked about a potential third-party run involving Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. In this scenario, Mrs. Clinton increases her lead over Trump by six points, 44 percent to 28 percent, with 12 percent unsure and only six percent selecting Gary Johnson.

The next question asked of Virginia registered voters; “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie, who would you vote for?” In this case, Republican Ed Gillespie currently holds a narrow two-point lead over Democrat Ralph Northam, 40 percent for Gillespie and 38 percent for Northam – with 22 percent of registered Virginian voters choosing an ‘other’ candidate.

Finally, the voters were questioned about their stance on gay conversion therapy, specifically asking those who participated in the Gravis Marketing poll, “Do you think that gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in Virginia?” 64 percent of those that participated in the survey indicated that this initiative should be illegal, only 13 percent would support this type of legislation as being legal for minors, while 23 percent were unsure of their stance on this issue.

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Do you approve or disapprove of Governor McAuliffe’s job performance?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
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If you had to vote today in a matchup between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Ralph Northam and Republican Ed Gillespie, who would you vote for?
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Do you think that gay conversion therapy aimed at changing a person’s sexual orientation should be legal or illegal for minors in Virginia?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Gravis Marketing Poll

Florida General Election Poll, Marijuana, and Trans Bathroom

State of Florida registered voters showing disapproval of Florida GOP political leaders and presumptive Presidential nominees according to recent Gravis Marketing survey.  

Winter Springs, Fla. – As the primary season begins to wrap up and the US General Election less than six months away, State of Florida voters appear dissatisfied with current state political leaders and the crop of potential presidential candidates according to a new Gravis Marketing poll. The non-partisan marketing research group from Winter Springs, Fla completed a random predictive dialer survey from May 17th till May 18th that randomly asked 2,542 registered voters about their thoughts on State of Florida political issues and National candidates for President of The United States.

The political robocalls survey has a margin of error of ± 2% and was completed at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by anticipated voting demographics. The survey is of registered voters that were randomly selected from the Florida registered voter database.

The Gravis poll began by asking 2,542 registered voters in Florida, of which 37 percent indicating they were registered Democrat, 35 percent Republican and 28 percent Independent voters about their opinion on current US President Barack Obama and his job performance. Those surveyed in Florida were split down the middle, with 46 percent stating they disapprove of his job performance and the same percentage approving of his job performance. Eight percent of those surveyed were unsure of their opinion.

Due to the fact that the survey was completed in Florida, Gravis Marketing then inquired about the voter opinion of the job performance of current Florida Senator Marco Rubio. A large majority of voters, 56 percent in fact, stated that they disapprove of his performance as a United States Senator representing the State of Florida. 24 percent of those asked were unsure of their opinion while only 20 percent support the statement that they approve of his job performance as a US Senator.  The same voters showed displeasure with former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, as 53 percent of those asked have an unfavorable opinion of him, 28 percent have a favorable opinion and 19 percent were unsure.

The poll then shifted to inquiring about the two presumptive nominees for President of the United States; Donald J. Trump and Hillary Clinton. When asked; ‘do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of (the two individuals)’ Florida voters strongly have an unfavorable opinion of both potential candidates. Donald Trump’s numbers indicated that 54 percent of Florida registered voters currently have an unfavorable opinion, 38 percent having a favorable opinion and eight percent unsure. For Mrs. Clinton, 52 percent stated they have an unfavorable opinion, 40 percent have a favorable opinion and the same eight percent indicated they were unsure.

When asked, ‘if you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote’ – the 2,542 voters currently favor Mrs. Clinton by four percentage points. 46 percent stated they would vote for Clinton, 42 percent would support Donald Trump and 12 percent of those asked is currently undecided.

The survey continued to gauge the opinion of registered Florida voters by asking them their thoughts on current National and State of Florida issues that may impact their opinions of potential nominees for all elected offices come November. The 2016 ballot in the State of Florida will include a constitutional amendment to vote on medical marijuana, a “for” the measure would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical conditions as determined by a licensed state physician. While a vote “against” the measure would prevent the legalization of medical marijuana. The Gravis survey asked all voters that participated in this poll; ‘If you were to vote today, would you vote for or against this constitutional amendment?’ 69 percent of those asked indicated that they would vote for the amendment, 23 percent stated they would vote against the amendment while eight percent were unsure.

The transgender debate was also a hot topic in the Gravis Marketing survey. When asked, ‘would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use bathrooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity’, 32 percent would strongly favor such a proposed law, 25 percent strongly oppose, 14 percent are somewhat favorable, 13 percent somewhat oppose and 16 percent indicated that they were unsure. A final question about supporting legislation that would require transgender individuals to use locker rooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity had nearly identical results.

Gravis Marketing President Doug Kaplan offered the following analysis of the recent Florida polling. “Florida is going to be a huge battleground state for this years Presidential election and this state is a must win for the GOP if they have any hope of regaining the White House. In recent weeks, Trump has done a good job of gathering his base while Clinton is still in a hotly contested battle with Bernie Sanders – which is rapidly dividing the Democrat party. If she is able to take the nomination, she’ll have to work hard to win over some of those Sanders supporters to maintain her lead in Florida.”

Kaplan continued, “The polling numbers that should concern the GOP is the lack of support of Marco Rubio. His 56 percent unfavorable rating as a Senator should raise red flags to the Trump campaign if they are considering adding Marco Rubio as their Vice Presidential nominee in order to win Florida. Rubio was definitely damaged by his Presidential run. These polls show that we are not convinced that he would help Trump as VP nor that he would necessarily win the primary for governor against other potential GOP nominees.”

“Another surprise in this poll shows the rapid changing of the voting segments opinion on medical marijuana,” concluded Kaplan. “One year ago when we asked a similar question, the state constitution measure was in danger of failing, as less than 60 percent of those polled would vote for it. Today, it appears that this ballot initiative is fairly on it’s way of passing. It’s amazing to see how much the public sentiment  has changed in the last 8 years. I think the key to winning Florida will be whether Trump can increase his GOP party support by picking a strong VP candidate, but more importantly – whether he has a way to draw in the majority of those 12 percent of undecided voters; most of whom are likely Independents.”

The results for each poll as well as demographic information of those who participated in this survey are listed below for review.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Do approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
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Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
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The 2016 ballot in the State of Florida will include a constitutional amendment to vote on medical marijuana, a “for” the measure would legalize medical marijuana for individuals with debilitating medical conditions as determined by a licensed state physician. While a vote “against” the measure would prevent the legalization of medical marijuana. If you were to vote today, would you vote for or against this constitutional amendment?
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Would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use bathrooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity?
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Would you say you favor or oppose laws that require transgender individuals to use locker rooms that correspond to their gender at birth rather than their gender identity?
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If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Current Indiana Polling

Executive Summary – Current Indiana Poll Results – May 2nd, 2016


Email Marketing You Can Trust

Winter Springs, Fla. – Even after a five-for-five shut out victory for Donald J. Trump in last Tuesday’s primaries, the pathway to 1,237 delegates is still not a 100 percent lock for the GOP Presidential Nomination. Indiana voters will have their opportunity to cast their votes in the upcoming Indiana state Republican Primary; and as of April 29th, Trump holds a double-digit lead over Ted Cruz according to a recent Gravis Marketing poll completed by phone surveys from April 28th to the 29th.

Gravis Marketing, one of the leading nonpartisan political research firms based in Winter Springs, Fla., conducted a random survey of 379 likely Republican Primary voters in Indiana. The Indiana poll results has a margin of error of ± 5% at a 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using live telephone calls to landlines and mobile phone numbers of registered voters in Indiana accessible through the Gravis Marketing compiled registered voter database and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

The Gravis poll began by asking 379 Republican Primary voters whom 91 percent indicated they were likely to vote in the upcoming primary and six percent stating they have already voted, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?” With three candidates remaining on the ballot, front runner Donald Trump received 44 percent support from Hoosier State Republican and Independent voters that took place in the survey. Texas Senator Ted Cruz received 27 percent of the vote while John Kasich, the Governor of Ohio received the support of 9 percent of those surveyed. At the conclusion of data collection, 19 percent indicated they were still ‘uncertain’ as to which GOP candidate they’d select.

Heading into Indiana’s Presidential Primary, Donald Trump holds 996 GOP delegates, with 517 still up for grabs. Indiana’s primary For Republicans, of those 57 delegates, 27 are a-large, awarded to the candidate who wins more votes statewide. Twenty-seven are awarded to the person who wins in each of the state’s congressional districts. Three are “party” candidates – Republican party officials. The delegates are pledged to their candidate for only the first ballot at the GOP convention this summer.

Unlike many other professional pollsters, Gravis Marketing’s polling surveys are always customized to receive the most accurate data for each voting demographic. The inclusion of political phone calls, web-based panels, and direct telephone calls to landlines and cell phone users allows Gravis Marketing, who has quickly become one of the leading political direct mail firms in the United States; to gather accurate data in their surveys.

All questions and responses captured during the Indiana Republican Voters poll, along with demographic information of those polled are listed below for easy review.

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How likely are you to vote in the Indiana Presidential Primaries?
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What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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RI and CT GOP Primary Poll, Trump Leads, with Kasich in Second


Email Marketing You Can Trust

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Coming off a big victory in New York last Tuesday, GOP front runner Donald J. Trump appears to be making a positive impact on likely Republican voters and seems to be on his way to victory in Connecticut and Rhode Island tomorrow. One of the most accurate non-partisan political research firms from Winter Springs, Fla – Gravis Marketing, conducted a random survey of 964 likely Republican Primary voters in Connecticut and 566 likely Republican Primary voters in Rhode Island.  The polls were conducted from April 23rd through the 24th and have margins of error of ± 3%/± 4% at a 95% confidence level.  The total may not round to 100% because of rounding.  The phone surveys were completed via automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

The Gravis Polls asked likely Republican primary voters that were listed in the Registered Voter Database in Connecticut and Rhode Island; “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?” 54 percent of the 964 likely GOP voters indicated they plan on voting for Donald J. Trump, while 27 percent stated they’d vote for John Kasich. At the time of the polling, 10 percent remained unsure while Texas Senator Ted Cruz netted a paltry 9 percent support in the Connecticut Gravis Marketing poll.

In Rhode Island, when the 566 likely voters were asked the same question, Trump’s margin of victory expanded to 58 percent support, with Kasich trailing with 21 percent, 11 percent still unsure and Cruz with only 10 percent. 91 percent of the voters surveyed in this poll indicated they were Very Likely or Likely to vote in the upcoming Tuesday primaries.

Gravis Marketing’s founder and President Doug Kaplan, who recently launched their political campaign website division offered his analysis of the recent polls in Connecticut and Rhode Island. “It appeared that Donald Trump lost some momentum between Wisconsin and New York. Even though he won his primary home state, he only captured 82 percent of the delegates in arguably his strongest voting base among the five major NYC boroughs. This week’s poll in Connecticut and Rhode Island indicate that he is doing exceptionally well in these two states and should win big.”

“Our polling in Delaware last week was among the most accurate in the US, as we correctly pointed out a flaw in the Cruz campaign’s voter support. Our demographic polling indicated that Cruz had a huge problem in the Northeastern US months ago – especially with Catholic voters. He is likely to finish third behind Kasich in many of Tuesday’s primary states. After this week’s primaries, all eyes should be focused on Indiana, as it’s expected that it will have similar results as Wisconsin. However, Trump’s numbers are improving in that state and the dynamics of the primary voters is much different in Indiana than in Wisconsin. It’s also very likely that Mr. Trump will do very well in California.”

Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?

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The following questions are for demographic purposes (mid-range of the two states):

How likely are you to vote in the upcoming Presidential Primaries?

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What is your political ideology?

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What race do you identify yourself as?

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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

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What is the highest level of education have you completed?

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How old are you?

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What is your gender?
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Delaware Polling


Email Marketing You Can Trust

 

Gravis MarketingWinter Springs, Fla. – With more than half of the US States having already participating in their Presidential Primary or Caucuses, the final stretch run for potential GOP nominees Donald Trump, John Kasich and Ted Cruz to collect valuable delegates has begun. After winning New York with a 60 percent voter support, Donald Trump is counting on his East Coast momentum to continue into the State of Delaware. Gravis Marketing, one of the leading non-partisan political consulting firms based in Winter Springs, Fla. conducted a random survey of 1,038 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,026 likely Democratic Primary voters that are likely to participate in the State’s upcoming primary vote.

The poll that utilized political robocalls (IVR Technology) was completed from April 17th through the 18th.  The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.0% for Republicans and ± 3.1% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level, with the results weighted by relevant voting demographics.

The 1,038 likely Republican primary voters that were listed in a State of Delaware registered voter database were the first to be sampled in regards to their thoughts on the upcoming primary. When voters were asked, Assuming you had to vote now, which 2016 GOP candidate would you vote for,” New York business man Donald Trump received 55 percent support, while John Kasich received 18 percent followed by Ted Cruz who collected 15 percent support. As of April 18th, 12 percent of likely Republican primary voters remain ‘unsure’ as to whom they will choose.

The poll then shifted to asking Democrats about their choice as to who will become the 2016 Democrat Presidential nominee; Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders. When asked if they had to vote today, which candidate they will choose, Clinton received the lion’s share of support, capturing 45 percent of the likely vote. Bernie Sanders received 38 percent with 17 percent of the 1,026 Democrats stating they were currently ‘unsure’ as to which of the two candidates would receive their vote.

The focus of the poll completed by political campaign website designer Gravis Marketing focused on the upcoming primary for a US congressional seat. The democrat voters were asked, “If the Delaware Democratic Primary for the US House was held today and the candidates were Sean Barney, Lisa Rochester, and Bryan Townsend, who would you vote for?” Bryan Townsend received 19 percent support, followed by Sean Barney with 12 percent and Lisa Rochester with eight percent. The majority of the Democrats polled, 61 percent stated they were currently ‘unsure’ of their choice.

The Gravis Marketing poll concluded by asking participants of their political ideology and other demographic questions that typically can impact voting habits. The results of each question are posted below for your review.

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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?

Democrats

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If the Delaware Democratic Primary for the US House was held today and the candidates were Sean Barney, Lisa Rochester, and Bryan Townsend, who would you vote for?

Democrats

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The following questions are for demographic purposes:

How likely are you to vote in the Delaware Presidential Primaries?

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What is your political ideology?

Republicans

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Democrats

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What race do you identify yourself as?

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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

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What is the highest level of education have you completed?

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How old are you?

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What is your gender?

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