Category Archives: Polls

New Hampshire Leaning Towards Sanders; Republican’s Tight in Final Polling

Winter Springs, Fla. – One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random survey of 1,573 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election. The sample includes 871 Republican Primary participants and 702 Democratic Primary participants. The poll has a margin of error of ± 2.5% [3.3% for Republican Primary/3.7% for Democratic Primary] at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted from February 2nd through the 4th and was conducted using Gravis Marketing’s automated call system and online responses, with the results weighted separately for each population in the question presented.

The One America News Network / Gravis Marketing poll began by measuring the pulse of registered voters and their likely hood to participate in the upcoming New Hampshire primary. When asked, ‘How likely are you to vote in the New Hampshire Primaries,’ 54 percent of Registered Republican voters indicated they are likely to vote while 46 percent of Registered Democrats are planning on participating. When asked at what level they plan to participate, 91 percent of the participants of the OANN / Gravis Poll stated they are ‘Very Likely’, seven percent indicated they are ‘Likely’ while two percent replied that they were ‘Somewhat Likely’.

871 Registered Republicans completing the IVR survey were then asked, “assuming you had to vote today which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?’ Donald Trump, who finished second in last week’s Iowa Caucus to Ted Cruz, received 29 percent support of those polled. Florida Senator Marco Rubio placed second – receiving 19 percent of the potential vote while Iowa winner Ted Cruz netted 15 percent support to round off the top three. Ohio Governor John Kasich received support from 13 percent. Six percent of potential New Hampshire voters selected Christie, four percent for Carson and Fiorina while Rand Paul and Rick Santorum who recently suspended their campaigns netted one and zero percent.

After a surprising tight race in Iowa between the two primary Democrat candidates, Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, New Hampshire voters appear to be leaning heavily to the Senator from New Hampshire’s neighboring state Vermont. When asked ‘Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate you would vote for?’ Sanders captured 58 percent support while Clinton received 42 percent of the potential vote.  702 currently registered Democrats participated in this New Hampshire poll.

Gravis Marketing President Doug Kaplan provided his analysis of the New Hampshire polling completed for One America News Network through their web based dialer. “With this poll in New Hampshire we completed a web panel of cell phone respondents which produced some intriguing results. On the Democrat side, Sanders has reached the young, white voting segment that showed up in force in Iowa to produce a virtual tie with Mrs. Clinton. Since Hillary has not done much to change that, we expect to see Sanders capture the victory in New Hampshire pretty convincingly.”

“With the Republican primary, things are much more complex and now very competitive,” Kaplan continued. “Our polls indicated that Cruz is gaining momentum in New Hampshire while Rubio is also building up steam from results he received from Iowa last week. A third place showing in New Hampshire could be a huge moment for the Cruz campaign; especially since people like Christie, Bush and Kasich have spent a tremendous amount of time campaigning in New Hampshire. Trump must perform well in New Hampshire – in fact, he needs a big victory. Expectations were very high for him in Iowa.  Marco Rubio’s ground game and final surge post-Fox News Debate dug into Trumps margin in Iowa – the same mistake can’t happen for Trump in New Hampshire or it may cost him in future states.”

Gravis Marketing

Gravis Marketing Nevada Polling Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton Leads

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and political marketing firm, conducted a random survey of 909 registered, likely voters using a registered voter database  in Nevada. The poll was conducted from December 23th to the 27st and includes 406 Republican Caucus participants, 326 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in the caucus, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for Republican and Democratic caucuses]at the 95% confidence level. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s Job Performance?
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Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Sandoval’s Job Performance?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?
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If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Joe Heck and Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, Who would you vote for?
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If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Sharron Angle and Democrat Catherine Cortez Masto, Who would you vote for?
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Which of the following do you think is the best course of action the U.S. should take regarding the refugee crisis in Syria?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
How likely are you to vote in the Nevada Caucuses?
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What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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How often do you attend church or religious services?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Media Inquires contact Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870 email:doug@gravismarketing.com  Gravis Polling is one of the leading political consulting firms, and ip targeting providers

Gravis Iowa Caucus Republican and Democrat Public Opinion Poll

Gravis MarketingWinter Springs, Fla. – An extended lead for Democrat Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and a virtual tie on the Republican side highlights a recent Gravis Marketing poll from Iowa. The nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla recently conducted a random phone survey of 1,027 registered, likely primary voters in Iowa that was split into two specific demographics. The automated IVR survey which was conducted from December 18th to the 21st, includes 440 Republican Caucus participants, 418 Democratic Caucus participants, and the remainder not planning on participating in the caucus, but is planning to vote in the regular elections.

The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for Republican and Democratic caucuses].  The total may not round to 100% because of rounding.  The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and weighted separately for each population in the question presented. The results following highlight the Republican and Democrat party results from the recent Iowa poll.

Prior to asking future Democrat party Caucus and Republican participants about their choice of whom they intend on voting for with the upcoming Iowa Caucus, the Gravis Marketing poll asked them about their opinions of currently sitting elected officials. When asked, “do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance,” 50 percent of the total 1,027 registered and likely primary voters indicated that they currently disapprove of the President’s job performance. 44 percent stated they currently approve, with six percent stating they currently were unsure about his performance as The Commander-in-Chief.

The Gravis Marketing poll then asked the voters about their opinion of recently elected Senator Joni Ernst. When asked if they approve or disapprove of her job performance, 41 percent stated they disapprove, 36 percent indicated support of her job performance, while a large contingent of 24 percent was unsure of her job approval. Ernst captured the Senate seat in Iowa during the 2014 mid-term elections and has been in office less than one-year.

Gravis Marketing The focus of the Gravis Marketing poll then shifted to asking about the Republican and Democrat Caucus member’s choice for their parties nominee for President of the United States. When asked to choose between a pool of 13 potential candidates; including front runners Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, the Caucus members were split; with both Trump and Cruz receiving 31 percent support from Caucus member. Florida Senator Marco Rubio captured 9 percent of the potential vote, while Dr. Ben Carson and Jeb Bush rounded up the top five with seven and five percent. When asked to choose between Clinton, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Martin O’Malley, 49 percent selected Clinton, 31 percent have chosen to suppdownloadort Sen. Sanders, while 10 percent of those asked were either undecided or choose to vote for O’Malley.

Doug Kaplan, the President of Gravis Marketing offered his analysis of the recent Iowa polling; “The Republican race in Iowa is very close. The questions we must ask is has Ted Cruz peaked too early, or can an Donald trump turnout out people in caucuses? Who will finish third? How much momentum will Cruz or Trump have in New Hampshire? The Republicans have two debates before Iowa. The debate on Fox will be limited to six people. The debate performances can change everything. It would not surprise us if this race takes another turn in the next few weeks.”

“If her numbers hold, this is likely to be a bitter sweet victory for the former Secretary of State, since she captured the Iowa victory in 2008 that engineered Obama’s defeat of Mrs. Clinton,” noted Doug Kaplan. “We believe if Mrs. Clinton wins by a substantial amount in Iowa this will give her the momentum in New Hampshire and her firewall states of South Carolina and Nevada. The question will then become will Mrs. Clinton win all 50 states in the Democratic primary and caucuses.”

Kaplan continued to state; “We believe the tide has turned for Mrs. Clinton Clint for a few reasons since October. First, with Joe Biden deciding not to run, his voting support was no longer split. Secondly, her extremely strong debate performances, along with her Benghazi testimony and the perceived weakness of her challenger Mr. Bernie Sanders have all but assured her the Democrat nomination. Further, in the time of concerns about gun control on the Democratic side, she was able to use Mr. Sanders  record in Vermont against him he voted for limited gun restrictions giving immunity to gun manufacturers.”

The Gravis Marketing President Kaplan concluded his analysis of the Democrat polling results from Iowa by indicating; “The attacks in Paris and San Bernardino and her strong stance have made her look Presidential and Sanders look inconsequential. O’Malley so far is a non-factor. He’s not connecting with people on the debates as he’s trying to be all things to all people. The final reason is this primary season so far has been a gift to Mrs. Clinton. No one on the Democratic side is attacking her; all of the media coverage is about the Republican primary which has drown-out any momentum Sanders had.”

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Do approve or disapprove of Senator Joni Ernst’s job performance?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?

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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
How likely are you to vote in the Iowa Caucuses on February 1st, 2016?
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What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Chart Maker

Current New Hampshire Polling

Gravis MarketingWinter Springs, Fla. – Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random telephone survey of 600 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas on November 11, 2015. The sample includes 330 Republican Primary participants, 214 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4.0% [5.4% for Republican Primary/6.7% for Democratic Primary]. Gravis uses automated IVR and predictive dialing software. 

After gathering relative demographic specifics about those who participated in the November 11th poll, the next question asked of all voters inquired about their thoughts on the job approval of President Barack Obama. When asked if the people polled approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance, 53 percent stated they disapproved of his job performance, 41 percent approved while six percent were unsure.

The next question focused on the pending Republican primary and the current candidates for the presidential nomination. When asked, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?”, the majority of voters 29 percent stated they would cast their ballots for Donald Trump. Less than half of that percentage, 12 percent stated they would currently vote for Ted Cruz, with Marco Rubio, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush rounding off the top five.

The people questioned in the November 11th poll were then asked about their opinions on who’d they’d vote for on the Democratic side for President of the United States. When the voters were asked, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?”, 46 percent indicated support for Hillary Clinton. Bernie Sanders captured 25 percent support while Martin O’Malley received only three percent. At the time of the poll, 26 percent of those asked were currently unsure as to which Democratic nominee they would support.

Finally, the focus of the Gravis poll shifted to asking New Hampshire voters about their opinions in the Senate by asking; “In a potential Republican primary next year between incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte and Businessman Andrew Hemingway who would you vote for?” The current Senator Kelly Ayotte received the support of 58 percent, however, the successful entrepreneur received the support of 23 percent, with a large portion of those polled currently undecided on who’d they support in a state primary.

Voters in New Hampshire were asked about Senator Ayotte’s voting record and support for the debt ceiling and support of President Obama’s Greenhouse Emissions bill and how that would impact the voters opinion of the incumbent Senator. When asked, “Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent vote in favor of raising the debt ceiling make you more likely of less likely to vote for her reelection next year?”, the majority of potential voters, 45% stated that her support would make them less likely to vote for her. When asked about supporting the EPA Greenhouse gas emissions bill, again the majority of those polled – this time 35% stated that her support of this Obama agenda item would make them less likely to support her again.

The info-graphs posted below break down the precise responses and demographic information of those polled in the November 11th, 2015 Gravis Marketing poll in New Hampshire.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?
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In a potential Republican primary next year between incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte and Businessman Andrew Hemingway who would you vote for?
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Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent vote in favor of raising the debt ceiling make you more likely of less likely to vote for her reelection next year?
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Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent support for President Obama’s EPA and Greenhouse gas emissions bill make you more or less likely to vote for her reelection next year?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:

What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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Current California Polling

Current California Polling
September 22-23, 2015

Executive Summary
Winter Springs, Fla. – A 12 percentage point lead for Condoleezza Rice over her next closest primary challenger and a four point advantage over that challenger in head-to-head polling general election match-up highlight recent poll results completed by Gravis Marketing. The nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla recently conducted a random survey of 513 registered voters in California regarding the Senate election. The polls were conducted using automated telephone calls (IVR technology) and the results are weighted by anticipated voting demographics.Condi_Rice
As with all Gravis Marketing Polls, voters polled were asked demographic measurement questions to validate data. When asked about party affiliation; 43 percent stated that they were Democratic, 31 percent indicated they were Republican while 26 answered they were Independent or other party affiliated.
The polling questions began by asking, “If the 2016 US Senate Primary were held today, who would you vote for?” 46 percent would cast their vote for Condoleezza Rice of 513 registered voters in California if the primary was held today. 34 percent stated they’d support democrat Kamala Harris. Democrat Loretta Sanchez received 11 percent support while Republican Tom Del Beccaro captured a paltry nine percent of those polled.
The next question narrowed the field of potential US Senate Seat candidates to two; pairing Condoleezza Rice against Kamala Harris. In this case, 52 percent of the voters polled indicated that if they had to choose between Condoleezza Rice and Kamala Harris, they’d select Condoleezza Rice.
Finally, voters were asked “If the general election were held today, between Condoleezza Rice & Loretta Sanchez, who would you vote for?” Of the 513 registered voters asked, Condoleezza Rice captured 64 percent support while Loretta Sanchez received 36 percent in a head-to-head match-up.
The Gravis Marketing Poll has a margin of error of ± 4% and was paid for by the Conservative Action Fund PAC. The complete results of the polling are indicated below.
If the 2016 U.S. Senate Primary were held today, who would you vote for?
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If the general election for United States Senate were held today, between Condoleezza Rice & Kamala Harris, who would you vote for?
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If the general election were held today, between Condoleezza Rice & Loretta Sanchez, who would you vote for?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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