Category Archives: Polls

Sen. Patricia L. Murray (D.Wash.)

Washington State poll: Paul leads GOP field, Murray leads McMorris Rodgers; Right to Work up 45% to 33%

Washington Republicans are lining up for Kentucky’s Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul with strong support from gun owners, according to the May 18-19 Townhall/Gravis Insights poll of 523 Republican voters.

Rand Paul has a national following that has not been reflected in our state-by-state polls, until we took at look at Washington State,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights a division of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll. The poll of Republicans carries a 4 percent margin of error.

Gravis Insights, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random telephone survey of 1,032 registered voters in Washington regarding potential election matchups and other relevant issues. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percent for the general election questions, 6 percent for the 256 Democratic respondents, he said. The poll was conducted using the Gravis IVR technology automated calling system and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

In other matchups, Democratic Sen. Patricia L. Murray leads her potential Republican challenger Rep. Catherine McMorris Rodgers, the chairwoman of the House Republican Policy Committee, 51 percent to 40 percent.

A Murray v. McMorris Rodgers battle would pit the moderate congresswoman, who has led Republican support of Obamacare in the House, against one of the most partisan senators in the Democratic caucus.

Watch this video of Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul (R.-Ky.) with Sean Hannity:

Paul is the choice of 13.2 percent of Republicans, he said. The other top four candidates are: Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker, 12.4 percent; former Florida governor John E. “Jeb” Bush, 11.5 percent; Florida’s Sen. Marco A. Rubio, 11.3 percent and Dr. Benjamin Carson with 7.6 percent.

“Paul comes to Washington with advantages, too,” Kaplan said. The senator’s father former Texas congressman Dr. Ronald E. Paul won the 2012 Washington caucuses with strong grassroots organization.

Sergio Gor, a spokesman for the senator, said: “Senator Rand Paul has worked very hard to grow the party over the last few years, his focus on issues like privacy and criminal justice reform gives him a unique ability to successfully engage the youth community.”

The Kentucky senator was the choice of 16 percent of Republicans, where there is a gun in the home, followed by Walker, 14 percent; Rubio, 13 percent; Bush, 10 percent and Carson with 7 percent, Kaplan said.

“Rubio is the top choice among abortion opponents with 16 percent,” he said. “The Florida senator was followed by Bush and Carson both with 13 percent, then Walker with 11 percent and Huckabee with 9 percent.”

“The dynamic of the Republican contest is in real flux right now as candidates dominate a news cycle for a few days or get a bump from their formal announcement,” he said. “Things will not settle until everyone who is in, is in—and everyone who is not running makes it clear that they are out.”

Twenty-three percent of Republicans are undecided, Kaplan said.

Bush and Walker had been the leaders of the pack, but Bush has not even announced his formal candidacy, and others, such as Rubio, Cruz and Carson have joined the fray, he said.

In statewide issues, national observers would be surprised to learn that Washington may become the 26th state to liberate its compulsory union membership laws. The campaign, led by the Employee Rights Political Action Committee, seems to have traction with voters, who support the referendum 45 percent to 33 percent.

Michelle Ray, a spokeswoman for Washington Right to Work, said the poll results jibe with the support she is seeing on the ground.

“The support is so strong that we are expanding our campaign and pushing for legislative action in addition to collecting signatures for a ballot initiative,” she said.

In the 2016 race for governor, Gov. Jay. R. Inslee has an upside-down approval rating of 38 percent favorable v. 42 percent unfavorable, Kaplan said. “But, the governor has leads over three of his potential Republican rivals.”

In the 2016 race for governor, GOP Rep. David. G. Reichart trails with 39 percent against the governor’s 43 percent. Inslee leads state Sen. Andy Hill, 44 percent to 36 percent and leads Port of Seattle Commissioner William Bryant by 10 points, 45 percent to 35 percent.

Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm  conducted a random survey of 1,032 registered voters in Washington regarding potential election matchups and other relevant issues. The poll was conducted May 18 0- 19, 2015 and has a margin of error of ± 3% for the General Election, ± 4% for the Republican caucus (respondents of 523), and ± 6% for the Democratic caucus (respondents of 256). The poll was conducted using IVR technology and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.
Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

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Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Inslee’s job performance?

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If the Washington Republican Caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, whom would you vote for?

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If the Washington Democratic Caucuses for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?

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If the Washington Democratic Caucus for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Jay Inslee, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Bill Bryant and Democrat Jay Inslee, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Andy Hill and Democrat Jay Inslee, who would you vote for?

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If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Rob McKenna and Democrat Jay Inslee, who would you vote for?

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If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Patty Murray, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Cathy McMorris Rodgers and Democrat Patty Murray, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

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Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

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Hillary Clinton used a personal email account to conduct government business while working as Secretary of State under the Obama Administration. Does this issue factor into why you think Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

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Several states have what is known as a “Right to Work” law which lets workers in their states keep their job in a company regardless of whether or not he or she joins a labor union. Would you support or oppose implementing a “Right to Work” law in Washington?

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Do you think Congress should ban online gambling?

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Do you think Congress should raise the gas tax in order to pay for highways, bridges, and mass transit projects?

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The following questions are for demographic purposes.
What is your party affiliation?

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What is your political ideology?

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Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

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Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?

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Gravis is a full service advertising agency that now develops custom political campaign websites.

North Carolina Gov. Patrick L. McCrory (Courtesy)

North Carolina poll: Bush, Walker lead in GOP field; Cooper leads McCory in governor’s race

While among North Carolina Republicans John E. “Jeb” Bush, a former governor of Florida, leads a crowded field of Republican candidates, with 18 percent of support, his support lags in the state’s Tea Party, where Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker leads him 17 percent to 10 percent, according to an April 30 Gravis Insights of 1,479 registered poll of Tar Heel State voters.

The survey sample was made up of 835 Republicans and 524 Democrats. Questions to Republicans carry a 3 percent margin of error and to Democrats carry a margin of error of 4 percent. Questions to the entire sample population carry a margin of error of 2 percent. The poll was conducted using automated calls and IVR political campaign software technology

The poll also shows strong support for state Attorney General Roy A. Cooper III, a Democrat, who has announced his candidacy in to oppose Republican Gov. Patrick L. McCrory. The former Duke Energy executive, elected in 2012, is running for a second term.

North Carolina Attorney General Roy Cooper

North Carolina Attorney General Roy A. Cooper III (Courtesy)

Cooper leads McCrory with 44 percent to the governor’s 42 percent, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based firm that conducted the poll. Gravis Insights is a nonpartisan research firm.

In 2008, McCrory lost to Beverly Perdue 50 percent to 47 percent and in 2012 McCrory defeated the incumbent Democrat Lt. Gov. Walter H. Dalton 55 percent 43 percent.

The governor’s approval rating is 33 percent among all voters, 61 percent with the Tea Party, 40 percent with voters in gun owning families and 52 percent with pro-life voters in the latest Gravis telephone survey.

North Carolina voters oppose raising taxes on gasoline, 61 percent to 26 percent. But when they were asked if the federal government should ban online gambling, which on Capitol Hill is purpose of legislation before both the House and Senate, commonly called the “Restore America’s Wire Act” or RAWA.

The poll also tested the strength of Republican candidates against former first lady Hillary R. Clinton, a Democrat.

“Bush and Walker are competitive in every state, but we wanted to see how the GOP race was working inside the different constituencies of the Republican Party,” Kaplan said.

Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott K. Walker (Courtesy)

Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott K. Walker (Courtesy)

In the general Republican race, Florida’s Sen. Marco A. Rubio trails Bush with 16 percent, followed by Walker’s 13 percent, Kaplan said. Former Arkansas governor Michael D. Huckabee with 11 percent and Texas’ Sen. R. Edward Cruz with 8 percent. In the 2008 campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, Huckabee lost the North Carolina primary to Arizona’s Sen. John S. McCain III, 74 percent to 12 percent and finished second to McCain in the overall campaign.

Gravis Marketing Political Poll

Sen. R. Edward “Ted” Cruz (R.-Texas) (Courtesy)

Kaplan said Huckabee is a close-close second to Walker with the Tea Party with 16 percent, followed by Rubio, 14 percent, Cruz 13 percent. “It is a tight group at the top, but there is real separation between the top four and Bush.”

Bush does much better with pro-life Republicans and Republicans from gun owning families, he said.

“There is a tie between Bush and Rubio with pro-life Republicans with both men at 15 percent,” he said. “Both Walker and Huckabee come in with 14 percent and Cruz has the support of 10 percent.”

Cruz, like the others is firmly opposed to abortion, but the gap reflects both his emphasis on different issues and the let down from the pop from his announcement in March, he said.

Both Rubio and Bush are the choice of voters, who own a gun or belong to a family with guns in the home, with the Floridians garnering support of 16 percent, he said. Walker holds close at 13 percent, followed by Huckabee at 11 percent and Cruz at 9 percent.

Kaplan said when Gravis Insights a division of Gravis Marketing polled North Carolina Republican supporters of abortion rights, Bush is the clear favorite with the 27 percent of respondents choosing him. Bush is followed by Rubio at 20 percent, but then there is a sharp drop off.

Among GOP voters, who support abortion rights, Walker and Cruz have the support of 11 percent and Huckabee has the support of 10 percent.

John E. "Jeb" Bush (Courtesy)

John E. “Jeb” Bush (Courtesy)

North Carolina has a reputation as a conservative state, which it is, but it has a significant liberal twinge that leads it to go for President Barack Obama in 2008 and to elect Democratic senators and governors with far more regularity than South Carolina or Georgia. In fact, when McCrory won the 2012 governor’s race, he was the first Republican governor elected since 1988.

This purple streak in North Carolina politics reflects the influence of the state’s colleges and universities that have long been liberal sanctuaries, the influx of northerners attracted by the state’s high-tech and industrial revival and the black vote that accounts for more than 20 percent of the general election turnout in 2014.

According to the Gravis/Townhall poll, former secretary of state Hillary R. Clinton is running strong against the leading Republican candidates. She is consistently in the high 40s against the Republicans with the variation coming with each candidates own popularity and slight swings in the number of undecided voters.

Clinton is in a virtual-tie with Bush, 45 percent to Bush’s 44 percent and against Rubio, Clinton leads 46 percent to Rubio’s 45 percent. Clinton leads Walker 47 percent to in 45 percent. Clinton leads Huckabee 47 percent to 44 percent. Clinton leads Cruz 48 to 44 percent.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?


Do approve or disapprove of Governor McCrory’s Job Performance?


If the North Carolina Republican Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, whom would you vote for?


If the North Carolina Democratic Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?


If the North Carolina Democratic Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee, and Bill De Blasio, whom would you vote for?


If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat McCrory and Democrat Roy Cooper, whom would you vote for?


If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Richard Burr and Democrat Kay Hagan, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?


Hillary Clinton used a personal email account to conduct government business while working as Secretary of State under the Obama Administration. Does this issue factor into why you think Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?


Do you think Congress should ban online gambling?


Do you think Congress should raise the gas tax in order to pay for highways, bridges, and mass transit projects?


Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?


Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?

Sen. Kelly A. Ayotte (R.-N.H.) (Courtesy)

New Hampshire poll: Ayotte opens up 6-point lead; Walker, others lead Clinton

The incumbent Republican senator from New Hampshire opened up a six-point over Gov. Margaret “Maggie” Hassan, her presumptive Democratic challenger in the April 21-22 Townhall/Gravis poll of 1,117 voters.

Sen. Kelly A. Ayotte (R.-N.H.), who was endorsed in 2010 by former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, is building a solid lead over Hassan, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based firm a political campaign software and market research firm that conducted the poll. Hassan has not announced.

New Hampshire Gov. Margaret "Maggie" Hassen

New Hampshire Gov. Margaret “Maggie” Hassen (Courtesy)

Ayotte leads with voters under 50, 52 percent to Hassan’s 40 percent and support of 88 percent of Republicans, he said. Hassan holds the support of 82 percent of Democrats.

In polls pitting former first lady Hillary R. Clinton head-to-head against GOP contenders, shows Republicans leading or in virtual ties, Kaplan said.

Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker leads Clinton 47 percent to 44 percent, he said.

Walker Political Poll

Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker (Courtesy)

Among Catholics, Walker leads Clinton 49 percent to 41 percent, among Evangelical Protestants, 72 percent to 22 percent, he said. Men favor Walker over Clinton, 51 percent to 40 percent and Women favor Clinton over Walker 47 percent to 43 percent.

Kaplan said the polling Clinton is still the odds-on favorite for the 2016 Democratic nomination for president.

“The recent issues with the Clinton finances and email scandal have obviously hurt her,” he said. “Her announcement did not seem to give her a bump. We believe this is a temporary set back for Mrs. Clinton.”

Bad news cycles for Clinton, do not change the facts on the ground, he said.

“She does not have a legitimate primary opponent and she is on the defense from the Republicans,” he said. “Once the debates start and a front runner appears, we believe Clinton will then be able to draw a contrast and her poll numbers will bounce back.”

Hillary R. Clinton

Hillary R. Clinton (Courtesy)

Interestingly, neither Walker nor former Florida governor John E. “Jeb” Bush have formally announced their candidacies for the White House, he said.

Walker at 16 percent trails Bush’s 18 percent in the crowded field of GOP hopefuls, he said. Kentucky Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul is now third with 16 percent.”

“The Wisconsin governor and Bush still lead the pack in New Hampshire, as we have seen in other states,” Kaplan said. “Paul’s strength was dormant, and we have been waiting for his numbers to reflect both the time he is spending in the Granite State and the popularity of his father, the Texas former congressman Ron Paul.”

Clinton and Bush are locked in a tie at 42 percent, he said.

Paul leads Clinton  45 percent to 44 percent, he said. “The Kentucky senator beats Clinton among Catholics, 47 percent to 42 percent; among Evangelical Protestants, 72 percent to 22 percent.”

Men support Paul, 51 percent to 40 percent, but Clinton leads Paul among women, 47 percent to 43 percent, Kaplan said. “The numbers are a lot closer among women for Paul against Clinton than for other candidates.”

Florida Sen. Marco A. Rubio is fourth in the running, garnering the support of 11 percent, Kaplan said. Among female GOP voters, Rubio’s 13 percent puts him second among women to Bush’s 18 percent.

“The Florida senator runs well against Clinton, polling at 44 percent against her 45 percent–a virtual tie,” he said. Rubio beats the former secretary of state among Catholics 46 percent to 44 percent and among Evangelical Protestants, 76 percent to 18 percent.

Notes: Gravis Insights, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of potential Republican and Democratic Primary voters in New Hampshire, as well as general election voters. The poll included 666 respondents for the Republican Primary and 369 for the Democratic Primary and 1,117 overall respondents. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4% for the Republican Primary, ± 5% for the Democratic Primary, and ± 3% for the poll as a whole. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. The poll was conducted using IVR technology. The weighting of the results was performed separately depending on whether the question was for all respondents, just Republicans, or just Democrats.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

If the New Hampshire Republican Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, whom would you vote for?

If the New Hampshire Democratic Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee and Bill DeBlasio, whom would you vote for?

If the New Hampshire Democratic Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Martin O’Malley, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Lincoln Chafee and Bill DeBlasio, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

If the election for Senate was held today and the candidates were Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Maggie Hassan, whom would you vote for?

Do you believe that Hillary Clinton is a trustworthy and honest individual or not?

Former Florida Gov. John E. "Jeb" Bush (Courtesy)

2016 Iowa poll: Bush leads crowded GOP field; Rice beats Clinton head-to-head 43% to 40%

2016 Iowa Poll Bush and Walker Close

The brother of the last Republican president leads the latest Townhall/Gravis 2016 Iowa poll of 388 Iowa Republican voters surveyed April 13 with Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker and Florida Sen. Marco A. Rubio trailing close behind.

Former Florida governor John E. “Jeb” Bush is in front with 16 percent, but it is roughly where he was in the Feb. 12-13 Iowa poll, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based political consulting firm that conducted the poll. The poll of Republican voters carries at 5 percent margin of error.

“We are seeing the undecideds starting to drop since our last poll, people are starting to get behind a candidate,” he said. “This time four years and eight years ago debates already started, this time the debates won’t start until later in the summer.”

The debates have the potential to change the dynamics of the race for the GOP presidential nomination, Kaplan.

“It is very likely one of the candidates will implode in the debates, it’s also likely someone like Rick Perry or Huckabee will perform so well in the debates, that the media props that up and puts them in the first tier,” he said.

“We see Jeb Bush hold strong with Walker very close, whenever someone announces, they seem to take a few votes from Walker, Iowa will be a horse race until the end with someone coming from the outside and very likely winning,” he said.

Sen. Marco A. Rubio (R.-Fla.)

Sen. Marco A. Rubio (R.-Fla.) (Courtesy)

“In our February telephone survey, Walker was at 24 percent, now he is at 13 percent,” Kaplan said. “At the same time, Rubio, who formally announced his candidacy the day of the poll, nearly doubled his support, going from 7 percent in February to 12 percent now.”

“If I was Jeb Bush, I would be happy with my position in the race right now,” he said. “He has the money and organization for the long-haul and his support is not fluctuating, it is steady on.”

Republicans head-to-head against Clinton

Hillary R. Clinton

Hillary R. Clinton (Courtesy)

Gravis polled 1,259 registered Iowa voters pitting Republican candidates against the leading Democrat former secretary of state Hillary R. Clinton.

Former national security advisor and secretary of state Condoleezza Rice is the only GOP candidate to lead Clinton among the general election sample, 43 percent to 40 percent. Broken out by religion, Evangelical Protestants support Rice versus Clinton 67 percent to 17 percent, Catholics, 42 percent to 38 percent. Rice also leads Clinton among voters under 50 49 percent to 34 percent.

“Hillary performs very well, notice the Condoleeza Rice, she is not running,” Kaplan said. “However what this tells me is the electorate wants a superstar like a Rice, someone with ideas and foreign policy credentials.”

Condoleeza Rice (Courtesy)

Condoleeza Rice (Courtesy)

Clinton leads Bush 43 percent to 40 percent with 17 percent undecided.Broken down by gender, Bush leads Clinton among men 42 percent to 37 percent with Clinton leading Bush among women 49 percent to 37 percent. Among voters below 50, Bush is ahead of Clinton 42 percent to 39 percent.

The former first lady is ahead of the Wisconsin governor by 46 percent to 42 percent with 13 percent undecided. Among women, Clinton leads Walker 51 percent to 38 percent, but Walker holds a lead over Clinton among men, 46 percent to 38 percent. Voters under 50 give the nod to Walker 44 percent to 41 percent.

Rubio is very close to Clinton head-to-head trailing 42 percent to 45 percent. Among Catholics, Rubio leads Clinton 47 percent to 41 percent and among men 48 percent to 39 percent. Clinton leads Rubio among women by a wide margin, 50 percent to 38 percent. With voters under 50, Rubio is ahead of Clinton 48 percent to 40 percent.

Note: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,259 registered voters in Iowa regarding potential matchups [388 Republicans]. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3% [5% for the Republican Primary question]. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polling method was done through IVR, with the raw results weighted by anticipated voting demographics. A full reporting of the cross tabulated results is available upon request.

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?


What is your party affiliation?


Do you support or oppose the Tea Party movement?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Scott Walker and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Mike Huckabee and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Chris Christie and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Carly Fiorina and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ted Cruz and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Marco Rubio and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?


If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Condoleezza Rice and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

Massachusetts residents oppose hosting the 2024 Olympics in Boston.

Bay State residents oppose Boston 2024 Olympics

In the April 9-10 Howie Carr/Gravis telephone survey of 2,182 Massachuesetts residents, 49 percent of those polled oppose hosting the 2024 Summer Olympics in Boston and 37 percent support the plan.

“We see that many people appreciate the importance of the Olympics, but are not willing to endure the cost and hassles associated with the Olympics bid and actual putting on of the games,” said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based political consulting firm that conducted the poll. The poll has a 2 percent margin of error.

Kaplan said the overwhelming support for a referendum on whether to use taxpayer money to bring the Olympics to Boston, 61 percent to 23 percent, is a further confirmation of opposition to the plan and the lack of trust the state’s resident have for their trust officials and politicians. “Then, if they get their referendum, 66 percent would vote against it compared to 18 percent for it.”

“Forty percent of respondents think Massachusetts would benefit from hosting the 2014 Summer Olympics compared to 46 opposed and 37 percent want the games to come to Boston compared to 49 percent opposed,” he said.

“They don’t think the juice is with the squeeze,” he said.

On his syndicated radio show, Howie Carr said he was thrilled that poll’s large sample size of residents captured the opinions of Bay Staters, who might not follow the news as closely as activists and would tend to be in favor of the games.

HowieCarrShowBanner

Carr said he doubted that the supporters of Boston’s 2024 Olympics bid could turn around a public that was so overwhelmingly against the bid. “This is bad, this really, really bad news for them.

Feargal O’Toole, a Boston-area Democratic digital consultant and owner of Data for Donkeys, said the opposition to the Boston 2024 Summer Olympics bid is strong.

“To start with, people in Massachusetts are smart enough to see that the Olympics is a bad deal for host cities,” he said. “Mix that with the patronizing campaign from the sellers of the games – and you’re going to see opposition like this.”

In the poll pitting Clinton against Warren, Kaplan said it proves again that there is no groundswell for Warren. “There is no way Warren is running and no way she wins.”

Clinton’s 2-to-1 advantage over Warren in the senator’s adopted state is consistent with the former first lady’s strength across the country.

“The talk that Clinton is weakening or does not have a clear path to the Democratic nomination is nonsense,” he said. “First of all, who is going to beat her? She still has no real opponent. Second, Democratic leaders recognize that Clinton is the only candidate, who can pull anywhere close to the extreme turnout numbers in minority neighborhoods that was crucial for Obama.”

Notes: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 2,182 individuals in Massachusetts regarding current issues. The poll has a margin of error of ± 2 percent. The total may not round to 100 percent because of rounding. The polls were conducted using IVR. A complete accounting of the demographic crosstabulations is available upon request.

Do you want Boston to host the Summer Olympics in 2024?

In your opinion, should there be a state-wide referendum on whether taxpayer money can be used to host the 2024 Summer Olympics in Boston?


If a referendum were held today on whether the state can use taxpayer dollars for the 2024 Summer Olympics, how would you vote?


In your opinion, would Massachusetts benefit from hosting the 2024 Olympic Games?


If you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Elizabeth Warren to be the next president, whom would you choose?