Current Democratic and Republican Polling in Florida

July 2, 2015

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random telephone survey of 881 registered Democratic voters in Florida.. The poll was conducted using IVR technology, with the results weighted by anticipated voting demographics. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. The Polls were conducted 6-16-2015 to 6-20-2015 3.3% (dem) and 3.6% (rep).

The Florida primary race for the Democratic nomination for President continues to show former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton enjoying a wide lead over her nearest expected challenger, Vermont’s socialist/Democratic US Senator Bernie Sanders.

With 64.8% of the respondents favoring Clinton, she remains in a comfortable first place position in spite of a recent surge in support and positive publicity for Sanders who places second at 20.6% of likely Democratic primary voters. Former Maryland Governor Martin O’Malley places a very distant third at 2.1% of the vote.

While Clinton’s opponents numbers have no where to go but up, the Clinton support enjoyed by her husband, former President Bill Clinton as well as her own individual popularity among Florida’s Democratic activists and party workers will most likely ensure a Clinton victory next March 15, 2016 in the Florida presidential primary.

Gravis has just completed a survey on the race for the Democratic nomination for Florida’s open US Senate seat and the numbers reflect and confirm several recently released survey’s from other public opinion research groups that show the upward trend of Florida Congressman Alan Grayson in a match-up against his Florida congressional colleague, Patrick Murphy.

The Gravis methodology is based on those voters highly likely to vote in the Democratic primary in 2016.  With only 17.7% of registered voters voting in the 2014 closed primary, a similarly small percentage of Democrat voters will choose the nominee.

Grayson was the beneficiary of an unlikely ally in recent weeks when the conservative Club for Growth unexpectedly launched a statewide media buy attacking Murphy for his continued support of the Export-Import Bank, one of the many issues that contrast the two Democratic candidates.

Murphy has come under increasing attacks from the mainstream Democratic and progressive groups for being too ‘Republican’ and our survey reflects this objection to Murphy’s candidacy.

Grayson, according to political pundits and insiders, is expected to announce his candidacy for the Senate seat being vacated by Marco Rubio in the next several days.

Grayson, one of the nation’s leading Democratic progressives will certainly give Murphy a spirited contest based on our results.

If the Florida Democratic primary election for President were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Martin O’Malley, Lincoln Chafee, Bill De Blasio, and Jim Webb, whom would you vote for?
Online Graphing

If the Democratic primary election for Senate were held today and the candidates were, Alan Grayson and Patrick Murphy, whom would you vote for?
Online Graphing

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
Online Graphing

What race do you identify yourself as?
Online Graphing

Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
Online Graphing

What is the highest level of education have you completed?
Online Graphing

How old are you?
Online Graphing

What is your gender?
Online Graphing

Republicans

Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 729 registered Republican voters in Florida. The poll was conducted using IVR technology, with the results weighted by anticipated voting demographics. Results may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Gravis contacted a random some of registered voter lists . Margin of Error 3.3% (dem) and 3.6% (rep).

On the Republican side, the results clearing indicate a re-affirmation of former Florida Governor Jeb Bush’s continuing domination of the polls up to this time.Florida US Senator Marco Rubio makes a strong showing based on his own personal popularity and his come-from-behind win in the US Senate race five years ago.

Rubio and Bush have been longtime friends and allies from the vote rich Miami-Dade area for decades and now find themselves with a winner-take-all contest in the state’s March 15, 20162016 presidential primary. Bush continues to lead in nearly all national polls while trailing in some early primary and caucus states.

The other contenders for the nomination are all polling in single digits and indicate that the Florida primary will most likely result in a contest between two of Florida’s favorite Republican sons.

If the Florida Republican primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Bobby Jindal, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Lindsey Graham, whom would you vote for?
Online Graphing

If the Florida Republican Primary election for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, whom would you vote for?
Online Graphing

If the Republican primary election for Senate were held today and the candidates were, Bill McCollum, Ron DeSantis, Carlos Lopez-Cantera, and Jeff Miller, whom would you vote for?
Online Graphing

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
Online Graphing

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?
Online Graphing

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?
Online Graphing

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
Online Graphing

What race do you identify yourself as?
Online Graphing

Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
Online Graphing

What is the highest level of education have you completed?
Online Graphing

How old are you?
Online Graphing

What is your gender?
Online Graphing

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *