Current Kansas Polling October 2014

October 22, 2014

Results for October 20 – October 21, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Close races for Senate and Governor along with continued disapproval of the job performance of President Barack Obama headline a recent Gravis Marketing poll completed in The State of Kansas. Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla conducted a random survey of 1,124 likely voters in Kansas regarding current candidates and issues. The poll was conducted using Gravis Marketing IVR Automated Phone Call technology and carries a margin of error of plus / minus 3 percent.

Federal Politics Polling Recap

The Gravis Marketing poll in Kansas began by asking the likely 1,124 voters about their opinion on several Federal political issues – starting with their view on the job performance of President Barack Obama. 58 percent of those polled have a disapproving opinion of his job performance to date while 32 percent believe the President is doing a good job as Commander in Chief. Ten percent of those polled were unsure of his job performance.

The poll then asked voters about their thoughts on potential match-ups for the 2016 Presidential campaign. The first potential race was contested between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rand Paul – with the Senator from Kentucky receiving the majority – 50 percent support. Clinton received a vote of confidence from 37 percent of those polled, while 14 percent are currently unsure as to whom they would vote for in 2016 if choosing between these two potential candidates.

The next potential match-up was between Clinton and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. Once again, the Republican candidate scored the majority of support, this time Bush captured 49 percent support while Clinton received 38 percent of the potential vote and 13 percent were unsure as to whom they would vote for in 2016.

State of Kansas Voting

As the November 4th, 2014 election quickly approaches, several races in Kansas remain very tight. When asked, “If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman, whom would you vote for,” the results were as follows. 47 percent would currently vote for Independent candidate Greg Orman, 45 percent would vote for Pat Roberts while only eight percent are unsure with less than ten days to go before the election.

The race for Governor of Kansas is also too close to call at this moment, as voters were asked; “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat Paul Davis, whom would you vote for?” Currently, Democrat Paul Davis holds a 49 percent to 44 percent margin over his Republican counterpart, Sam Brownback. Only seven percent remain undecided at the time of the Gravis Marketing Poll.

How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4, 2014?

Likelihood of VotingDo approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Approval of Obama

If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman, whom would you vote for?

SenateIf the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat Paul Davis, whom would you vote for?

Governor, Brownback or Davis If the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean Schodorf, whom would you vote for?

Secretary of State If the election for Insurance Commissioner were held today and the candidates were Republican Ken Selzer and Democrat Dennis Anderson, whom would you vote for?

Insurance Commissioner, Selzer or Anderson If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President Paul or ClintonIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President, Bush or Clinton Are you comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Kansas from the Mexican border?

Illegal Aliens Given the choice, would you rather see Congress: 1) raise the minimum wage, 2) cut the payroll tax for all working Americans, or 3) increase tax credits for some low-income Americans.

Congress Options With regard to the shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, do you think the police officer was justified or at fault?

FergusonThe following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

Party Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

Hispanic What race do you identify yourself as?

Race Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliation What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education Category How old are you?

Age groupWhat is your Gender?

Gender Note: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted according to anticipated voting demographics.

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