Current Kansas Polling

October 3, 2014

Results for September 30 – October 1, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Growing disapproval number for the President and closely contested battles in State-wide politics highlight a recent Gravis Marketing Poll completed October 1st, 2014. Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla conducted a random survey of 850 likely registered voters in Kansas regarding current candidates, potential political match-ups and issues. The poll was completed using Gravis Marketing IVR Technology and carries a margin of error of ± 3%.

Of those that were surveyed in the Gravis Poll, 80% indicated that they are very likely to vote in the upcoming November 2014 mid-term election, while 16% said they were ‘Likely’ and only 4% were ‘somewhat likely’. These numbers indicate a strong intent for Kansas registered voters to show up on election day.

One potential reason for the higher-than-average potential voter turn-up may be due to several hot ticket issues; including the approval rating of the President of the United States Barack Obama. When asked about their opinions of the job performance of President Obama, 55% of the Kansas likely voters indicated that they disapprove of his job performance, while 36% indicated they approve and 9% were unsure of his job performance.

Federal Political Issues and Potential Match-Ups

One of the more popular features of the of the Gravis Marketing Poll is seeking the input of likely voters for potential match-ups in 2016. When asked to choose between Republican Senator Rand Paul or Democrat Hillary Clinton, 48% indicated they would support the Senator from Kentucky Rand Paul, 38% stated they’d support Clinton the former Secretary of State under President Obama and 14% were unsure. When asked to choose between Clinton and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, 49% would select Bush, 38% stated they would vote for Clinton and 13% were currently undecided.

The focus on the poll then shifted to asking about current hot-topics in the Federal political landscape including:  Are you comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Kansas from the Mexican border? 63% stated they did no approve of this action, while 22% were not quite certain as to their opinion and answered ‘unsure’ in the Gravis Poll. 13% of the 850 Kansas likely voters stated they felt comfortable with this proposed solution to illegal immigration.

The voters were then asked about potential solutions to further stimulate the economy. Given the choice, would you rather see Congress: 1) raise the minimum wage, 2) cut the payroll tax for all working Americans, or 3) increase tax credits for some low-income Americans. It was the opinion of 49% of those polled that the best solution would be to cut payroll tax for all working Americans, 33% indicated that raising the minimum wage would be best and only 18% thought that increasing tax credits for some low-income Americans would be a good solution.

State of Kansas Recap

The Gravis Marketing Poll then asked the 850 likely voters about State of Kansas issues and match-ups for the upcoming election in November. “If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman, whom would you vote for?” 47% stated they would support Independent Greg Orman, Republican Pat Roberts received 40% support and 13% were unsure.

Voters were then asked about the Governor race in Kansas with the question, “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat Paul Davis, whom would you vote for?” 48% would support Davis, 40% would currently vote for Brownback and 12% remain unsure as to whom they will support in November. In the election for Secretary of State, the results of the Gravis Marketing poll indicated a dead-heat with both Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean Schodorf receiving 44% support.

How likely are you to vote in the General Election On November 4th 2014?

Likelihood of VotingDo approve or disapprove of President Obama’s Job Performance?

Approval of ObamaIf the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat Roberts and Independent Greg Orman, whom would you vote for?

SenateIf the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Sam Brownback and Democrat Paul Davis, whom would you vote for?

Governor, Brownback or DavisIf the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Republican Kris Kobach and Democrat Jean Schodorf, whom would you vote for?

Secretary of StateIf the election for Insurance Commissioner were held today and the candidates were Republican Ken Selzer and Democrat Dennis Anderson, whom would you vote for?

Governor-Selzer-or-Anderson
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President Paul or ClintonIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President, Bush or ClintonAre you comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Kansas from the Mexican border?

Illegal AliensGiven the choice, would you rather see Congress: 1) raise the minimum wage, 2) cut the payroll tax for all working Americans, or 3) increase tax credits for some low-income Americans.

Congress OptionsWith regard to the shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Missouri, do you think the police officer was justified or at fault?

FergusonThe following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

PartyAre you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

HispanicWhat race do you identify yourself as?

RaceWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliationWhat is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education CategoryHow old are you?

Age groupWhat is your Gender?

GenderNote: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted according to anticipated voting demographics.

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