Current New Hampshire Polling

November 14, 2015

Gravis MarketingWinter Springs, Fla. – Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random telephone survey of 600 registered voters in New Hampshire regarding the presidential election and other areas on November 11, 2015. The sample includes 330 Republican Primary participants, 214 Democrats, and the remainder not planning on participating in the primary, but are planning to vote in the regular elections. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4.0% [5.4% for Republican Primary/6.7% for Democratic Primary]. Gravis uses automated IVR and predictive dialing software. 

After gathering relative demographic specifics about those who participated in the November 11th poll, the next question asked of all voters inquired about their thoughts on the job approval of President Barack Obama. When asked if the people polled approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance, 53 percent stated they disapproved of his job performance, 41 percent approved while six percent were unsure.

The next question focused on the pending Republican primary and the current candidates for the presidential nomination. When asked, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?”, the majority of voters 29 percent stated they would cast their ballots for Donald Trump. Less than half of that percentage, 12 percent stated they would currently vote for Ted Cruz, with Marco Rubio, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush rounding off the top five.

The people questioned in the November 11th poll were then asked about their opinions on who’d they’d vote for on the Democratic side for President of the United States. When the voters were asked, “Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?”, 46 percent indicated support for Hillary Clinton. Bernie Sanders captured 25 percent support while Martin O’Malley received only three percent. At the time of the poll, 26 percent of those asked were currently unsure as to which Democratic nominee they would support.

Finally, the focus of the Gravis poll shifted to asking New Hampshire voters about their opinions in the Senate by asking; “In a potential Republican primary next year between incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte and Businessman Andrew Hemingway who would you vote for?” The current Senator Kelly Ayotte received the support of 58 percent, however, the successful entrepreneur received the support of 23 percent, with a large portion of those polled currently undecided on who’d they support in a state primary.

Voters in New Hampshire were asked about Senator Ayotte’s voting record and support for the debt ceiling and support of President Obama’s Greenhouse Emissions bill and how that would impact the voters opinion of the incumbent Senator. When asked, “Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent vote in favor of raising the debt ceiling make you more likely of less likely to vote for her reelection next year?”, the majority of potential voters, 45% stated that her support would make them less likely to vote for her. When asked about supporting the EPA Greenhouse gas emissions bill, again the majority of those polled – this time 35% stated that her support of this Obama agenda item would make them less likely to support her again.

The info-graphs posted below break down the precise responses and demographic information of those polled in the November 11th, 2015 Gravis Marketing poll in New Hampshire.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?
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Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?
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In a potential Republican primary next year between incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte and Businessman Andrew Hemingway who would you vote for?
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Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent vote in favor of raising the debt ceiling make you more likely of less likely to vote for her reelection next year?
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Does Senator Kelly Ayotte’s recent support for President Obama’s EPA and Greenhouse gas emissions bill make you more or less likely to vote for her reelection next year?
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The following questions are for demographic purposes:

What is your party affiliation?
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What is your political ideology?
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Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
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Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?
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What race do you identify yourself as?
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Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
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What is the highest level of education have you completed?
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How old are you?
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What is your gender?
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