Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky

April 25, 2014

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Executive Summary

Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random telephone survey by automated calls to landline phone numbers using it’s proprietary telephone survey software, 1,359 registered Kentucky voters completed the survey regarding current events, including potential presidential and senate candidates between April 15-17-2014, The poll carries a margin of error of ± 3%. Note The republican primary question has a margin of error of 4% 638 Republican voters participated in the telephone poll.

Republican voters were asked in the telephone survey,  “If the Republican primary were held today, would you vote for Matt Bevin or Mitch McConnell?” Senator McConnell holes a significant advantage over Republican primary challenger Matt Bevin by 51% to 34% margin with 15% indicating uncertainty. Voters of all parties were polled, “

If the race for election for US Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Mitch McConnell, Democrat Alison Lundergan-Grimes, or Independent Ed Marksberry?” Senator McConnell maintained a seven-point lead over prospective Democratic opponent Allison Lundergan-Grimes. 43% to 36% with 12% reporting they were uncertain. When looking at these data along party affiliation as expected Lundergan-Grimes’ support was largely among Democrats (70.4%) with 28.2% of support among Independents. Senator McConnell enjoyed 64.8% of support from Republican voters with a larger Independent support bases than Grimes-Lundergan at 35.6%.  When asked about a prospective general election with Matt Bevin running on the Republican ticket instead of Senator McConnell, Lundergan-Grimes gains an advantage in the race at 37% to 32% with 25% reporting uncertainty.

 

As for voter sentiment for Senator McConnell, when asked, “Is Senator McConnell as conservative today as he was when he first ran for the Senate?” Among voters of all parties 37% indicated that Senator McConnell was not as conservative with 32% stating uncertainty and 32% indicating that he had maintained his conservative values. Another issue that has followed McConnell among his conservative base has been his stance on Obamacare. When all voters were asked, “Has Senator McConnell done enough to end Obamacare?” 46% indicated that he was not done enough, 29% stated he had opposed the law sufficiently while 25% were uncertain.

Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 1,359 registered voters regarding current events.  The poll carries a margin of error of 3%.

Telephone Survey Questions

If the Republican primary were held today, would you vote for Matt Bevin or Mitch McConnell?

rep primary senate Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky If the race for election for US Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Mitch McConnell, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, or Independant Ed Marksberry?

senate mcconnel grimes Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky If the race for election for US Senate were held today, would you vote for Republican Matt Bevin, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, or Independant  Ed Marksberry?

senate bevin grimes Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyShould the federal government approve firearm transactions before they are completed?

feds firearms Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyIs Senator McConnell as conservative today as he was when he first ran for the Senate?

mcconnel as conservative Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky Has Senator McConnell done enough to end Obamacare?

mcconnel end obamacare Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky Should mothers serving in the military be ordered into combat zones?

mothers combat zone Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyWould you support amnesty for illegal aliens?

amnesty illegal aliens Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky

The following questions are for demographic purposes.

Are you Hispanic?

hispanic1 Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyWhat race do you identify yourself as?

race1 Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

reglisious affiliation Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyWhat is the highest level of education you have completed?

education category Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyHow old are you?

age group1 Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky What is your gender?

gender1 Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In KentuckyWhat is your political party affiliation?

party1 Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky

Telephone Survey Methodology

Note: the polls were conducted using automated telephone calls and the results weighed according to anticipated voting demographics.

Gravis Marketing is a political advertising firm, that provides political polls, telephone survey software, voter lists, public relations, and other get out the voter services. The telephone poll was conducted interdependently with Human Events

2 thoughts on “Latest Telephone Survey Shows McConnell Ahead In Kentucky

  1. Ken Moellman

    You should also include Libertarian David Patterson in your next poll. He’ll be in the race as well in November.

    Reply

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