New Montana Poll Steve Daines Leads John Walsh

July 26, 2014

Results for July 24, 2014

Executive Summary

Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 781 registered likely voters in Montana regarding statewide candidates  by automated calls to landlines and live calls to mobile phones on 7/24/14.  The poll carries a margin of error of 3.5% with a 95% confidence level. The results follow.

Gravis Marketing’s latest survey of the Montana Senate race revealed that Steve Daines (R) has increased his over the embattled John Walsh (D). Daines currently leads  Walsh 45% to 38% with the Libertarian candidate Roger Roots receiving 9% support in the poll. This is a change from a  previous poll conducted by Garvis Marketing  released earlier this week showing  Walsh trailing only by 4 points (45% to 41%).  “This sudden change from respondents might have to do with the fact that Montanans are just learning that John Walsh may have plagiarized his master thesis in college,” said Doug Kaplan the head of Gravis Marketing. He added, “Now it looks like Steve Daines is the clear favorite for taking this seat for the Republicans.”

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
Approval of ObamaIf the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Steve Daines, Democrat John Walsh, and Libertarian Roger Roots, whom would you vote for?
SenateHow likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4 2014?
Likelihood of VotingThe following questions are for demographic purposes.
What is your political
party affiliation?
PartyAre you Hispanic?
HispanicWhat race do you identify yourself as?
RaceWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
Religious affiliationWhat is the highest level of education you have completed?
Education CategoryHow old are you?
Age groupWhat is your gender?
Note: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted by historical voting demographics.

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