October North Carolina Polling

October 20, 2014

Results for October 16 – October 18, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – A recent Gravis Marketing survey completed in the State of North Carolina indicates growing support for Republican candidates and continued disapproval numbers for the President of the United States Barack Obama. Completed October 18th, 2014 using Gravis Marketing IVR Automated Phone Call Services, Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 1,022 likely voters regarding current events. The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.

The Gravis Marketing poll captured a highly diverse polling segment including 39 percent that indicated they lean Democratic, 34 percent that side as Republicans and 27 percent Independent voters.

Federal Recap

The first question asked of the North Carolina likely voters was about the job performance of President Barack Obama. 57 percent indicated they disapprove of his current job performance, while 37 percent approve and six percent were unsure of his job performance. The voters were then asked about potential match-ups for the 2016 Presidential campaign. The first match-up was featured in the following question: “If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?” The Republican Senator from Kentucky Rand Paul captured 48 percent support of those polled, Clinton received 42 percent support and 10 percent remain unsure at this moment.

The second potential match-up was inquired of the likely North Carolina voters in this Gravis Marketing question; “If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Elizabeth Warren, whom would you vote for?” Paul again captured 48 percent of the potential vote, while Warren received 32 percent support. At the time of the poll, 20 percent remain unsure as to whom they would choose between the two potential candidates in 2016.

State of North Carolina Political Recap

The scope of the Gravis poll then shifted to State of North Carolina politics and current pairings for state-wide elections coming up on November 4th. If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan, whom would you vote for? Republican Thom Tillis holds a close five-point lead over Democrat Kay Hagen (48 to 43 percent). Nine percent still remain undecided for their choice of Senator.

The final question asked in the Gravis Marketing poll in North Carolina stated; “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat McCrory and Democrat Roy Cooper, whom would you vote for?” 49 percent answered that they would support Republican Pat McCrory, 41 percent would vote for Roy Cooper and nine percent remain undecided with only three weeks remaining until election day.

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance? Approval of ObamaIf the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Thom Tillis and Democrat Kay Hagan, whom would you vote for? SenateIf the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Pat McCrory and Democrat Roy Cooper, whom would you vote for?

GovernorIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President, Paul or Clinton If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Elizabeth Warren, whom would you vote for?

President, Paul or Warren Should Congress pass legislation overriding the ability of states to legalize and regulate online gambling?

Congress Gambling How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4, 2014?

Likelihood of Voting The following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

Party Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

Hispanic What race do you identify yourself as?

Race Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliation What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education Category How old are you?

Age group What is your gender?

Gender Note: the polls were conducted using automated telephone and the results weighed according to anticipated voting demographics.

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