Gravis Marketing Political Poll

S.C. poll: Cruz breaks out to challenge Walker, Bush; Graham at 9 percent in crowded GOP field

March 30, 2015

As the senior senator from South Carolina contemplates a 2016 run for the White House, the March 26-27, 2015 Townhall/Gravis poll of Palmetto State 1,371 voters, 899 registered Republicans and 472 registered Independents found he garners support of 9 percent against the crowded GOP field.

Sen. Lindsey O. Graham placed fourth, behind the two front runners, Sen. R. Edward “Ted” Cruz, 13 percent; former Florida governor John E. “Jeb” Bush, 16 percent and Wisconsin Gov. Scott K. Walker, 17 percent, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based firm that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 3 percent margin of error.

“We asked two questions, one with Graham in the race and one with Graham not in the race,” Kaplan said. “With Graham in the race, his 9 percent pulls from across the field, rather than hurting any one candidate.”

If the South Carolina Republican Primary for President was held today and he candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Lindsey Graham, whom would you vote for?

MarchSCwGraham

With Graham in the race, undecided voters stood at 18 percent and without Graham the undecided stood at 17 percent, he said.

“Just as in other states, where we have been polling, Bush-and-Walker-Walker-and-Bush has separated from the rest of the pack as the leaders,” Kaplan said. “We have been looking for a third candidate to break out and join Bush and Walker, and it could be Cruz. In South Carolina, Cruz polls at 11 percent with Graham out of the race.”

The Republican Primary question was posed twice.  The first response includes Lindsey Graham; the second does not.

If the South Carolina Republican Primary for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Carly Fiorina, Chris Christie, Scott Walker, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Rick Santorum, Mike Huckabee, and Ben Carson, whom would you vote for?

MarchSCwoGraham

Florida Sen. Marco A. Rubio could be the other candidate that breaks out to join the leader pack, he said. “In both polls, Rubio polls at 6 percent.”

Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R.-S.C.)

Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (R.-S.C.)

Gravis Insights a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random phone survey of 1,371 registered voters in South Carolina regarding potential matchups. The poll comprised 899 Republicans voters and 472 Independents and has a margin of error of ± 3%. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The political poll was conducted March 26, 2015 – March 27, 2015 results are weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

Note: the polls were conducted using the Gravis outbound dialer IVR software and weighted by anticipated voting demographics.  A complete reporting of demographics and cross tabulations are available upon request.  Please email us.

Gravis Insights is a division of Gravis Marketing Firm, a political consulting and market research firm located in Winter Springs, Florida.  Previous Gravis South Carolina Poll 

This entry was posted in Polls on by .

Neil W. McCabe is a political director for Gravis Marketing and a McCabe is the political director of Gravis Marketing. Washington-based journalist McCabe is the Washington editor of Armed American Radio and a Townhall.com columnist. McCabe was a staff writer and photographer for The Pilot, Boston's Catholic paper, as well as the editor of The Alewife and The Somerville News, two free community papers in the Boston-area. He was a senior reporter at Human Events and the editor of HE's Guns & Patriots newsletter. A veteran of the Army Reserve, he deployed to Iraq as a combat historian.

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