Current Arkansas Polling

September 13, 2014

Hillary Clinton Losing Ground in Home State

Results for September 8 – 11, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Continued support for Republican candidates for traditionally ‘red’ Arkansas and continued disapproval of the job performance of President Barack Obama highlight a recent Gravis Marketing poll completed on September 11th, 2014. In an independent and random survey of 902 registered voters in Arkansas, Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan market research firm based on Winter Springs, Florida polled potential voters regarding current or potential election match-ups. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4% and was activated by use of automated calls.

Of the 902 likely registered voters polled, a large majority of 78% indicated that they are very likely to vote in the November 2014 mid-term election. 38% of those polled stated they were ‘Independent’ voters, while 33% claim to lean to Democrat and the minority of those polled 28% stated they were Republican voters.

Federal Politics Recap

A large majority of 60% of those polled believe that current President of the United States Barack Obama is failing in his job to effectively lead as the Chief Executive. A dismal 33% of voters polled believe the President is doing a good job, while only 8% were ‘unsure’ of his job performance. Voters were asked about their support of potential candidates for the office of President of the United States to be contested in 2016. When asked about which candidate they would support, Democrat Hillary Clinton from Arkansas vs. Republican Rand Paul, 48% indicated they would support the Republican Senator from Kentucky while only 42% would currently vote for Arkansas native Clinton. 8% of those polled were unsure of who they would vote for.

Voters were then asked to choose between Clinton vs. former Florida Governor Republican Jeb Bush. Once again, the majority of Arkansas voters,in the latest telephone survey 49% would support the out of state Republican Jeb Bush, while the same 42% would support Clinton. 9% indicated they were unsure of their choice for President of the United States between these two potential candidates.

The voters were also asked “Given the choice, would you rather see Congress: 1) raise the minimum wage, 2) cut the payroll tax for all working Americans, or 3) increase tax credits for some low-income Americans.” 51% would rather see congress cut payroll taxes for all working American’s, 33% would raise the minimum wage, while 9% were unsure and 7% believe an increase in tax credits for some low-income Americans would be the correct course of action.

State of Arkansas Voting Statistics  

The scope of the Gravis Marketing poll then shifted to state-wide politics. When asked about voting for State Senator, current Republican incumbent Tom Cotton receives 47% of support. Democrat Mark Prior would currently capture 43% of the potential voters support, while Libertarian candidate Nathan LaFrance received a meager 2% of those polled. 8% of those polled were unsure as to whom they would vote for US Senator. When asked about who they would vote for State Gov,, 46% would currently vote for Republican Asa Hutchinson, 43% would vote for Democratic candidate Mike Ross and 2% would vote for Libertarian Frank Gilbert. 10% were currently unsure as to whom they would support for State Governor.

Other state related questions were directed to the Attorney General where the Republican candidate Leslie Rutledge received 42% support, Democrat Nate Steel received 33% support while 22% remain unsure as to who they would support for Attorney General.

About Gravis Marketing

Established in 2010 by co-founder Doug Kaplan, Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan research firm headquartered in Winter Springs, Florida.  Gravis Marketing was the recipient of the 2013 American Association of Political Consultants Award for 2012 Presidential Primary domestic and international phone calls. To learn more about Gravis Marketing and review previous State and Federal polling data, please visit their website @ http://www.GravisMarketing.com.

How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4 2014?

Likelihood of VotingDo approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Approval of ObamaIf The Election For US Senate were held today, whom would you vote for?

SenateIf the election for Governor were held today, whom would you vote for?

GovernorIf the Election for Attorney General were held today, whom would you vote for?

Attorney GeneralGiven the choice, would you rather see Congress: 1) raise the minimum wage, 2) cut the payroll tax for all working Americans, or 3) increase tax credits for some low-income Americans.

Congress OptionsIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President, Paul or ClintonIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Jeb Bush and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President, Bush or ClintonThe following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

PartyAre you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?

HispanicWhat race do you identify yourself as?

RaceWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliationWhat is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education categoryHow old are you?

Age groupWhat is your gender?

GenderNote: the polls were conducted using IVR technology.

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