Tag Archives: Democrat

Mississippi Col. J. Trent Kelly while on deployment to Iraq. (Courtesy)

Mississippi poll: Kelly leads in special election to succeed Nunnelee

The Republican combat veteran of Iraq and district attorney running in the June 2 special election for Mississippi-1 leads Democrat Walter Hunter Zinn Jr., 54 percent to 37 percent, according to a May 28 Townhall/Gravis poll of 509 likely voters.

Trent Kelly is the choice 77 percent of Tea Party voters and 69 percent of voters opposed to abortion rights, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Insights, the Florida-based polling company that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 4 percent margin.

Among voters, living in households with at least one gun, Kelly leads 65 percent to Zinn’s 28 percent. But, in households without at least one gun, Zinn leads 58 percent to 30 percent.

Watch this video of J. Trent Kelly

The district includes Tupelo, the birthplace of Elvis Presley, and sits in the Mississippi River Delta. Kelly is the district attorney for Lee, Pontotoc, Alcorn, Monroe, Itawamba, Prentiss and Tishomingo counties.

Zinn is an attorney and political activist, who worked as a senior advisor to two mayors of Jackson and has campaigned for raise taxes for water and road infrastructure.

In his campaign biography, Zinn quotes William Faulkner: “To understand the world, you must first understand a place like Mississippi.”

Walter Howard Zinn Jr.

Walter Howard Zinn Jr. (Courtesy)

The special election was called by Mississippi Gov. D. Phillip Bryant after the Feb. 6 death of congressman P. Alan Nunnelle.

Kelly has received support from the congressman’s widow, Tori, and the colonel’s campaign manager Morgan Baldwin  was a staffer for the congressman.

Brian Perry, a seasoned Mississippi Republican operative and consultant, said the poll results fit into how he has been seeing the race develop.

“It is a Republican district, but there are many old-line Democrats there, who can make the it competitve, but Mr. Zinn has not been to make it competitive,” he said.

Perry said he would not place Kelly in a particular faction in the Mississippi Republican Party, which was wrought with a bitter Senate primary in 2104 between Sen. W. Thad Cochran and state Sen. Christopher B. McDaniel.

“I do not see him as an establishment or Tea Party candidate, he just ran on his record,” Perry said.

Watch this video of Walter Howard Zinn Jr.

“Kelly is a conservative Republican, who put together a good campaign,” he said. “Kelly’s district, where he is district attorney, covers about a third of the congressional district and he was very effective building a grassroots campaign from is his support from the National Guard across the state.”

Notes: Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 509 registered voters in Mississippi regarding the Special Election runoff for the U.S. House of Representatives. The poll has a margin of error of ± 4%, was conducted using IVR technology on May 28th, and the results were weighted by anticipated voting demographics.

A complete accounting of the results according to party, race, gender, age group, education category, and other demographic variables is available upon request.

If the special runoff election for US Representative were held today and the candidates were Republican Trent Kelly and Democrat Walter Zinn Jr, whom would you vote for?

What is your party affiliation?

Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?

Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?


Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?


Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?


What race do you identify yourself as?


Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?


What is the highest level of education have you completed?


How old are you?


What is your gender?

Governor1

Kentucky poll: Democrat Conway leads GOP contenders in governor’s race

by Neil W. McCabe

The Democratic attorney general leads Republican candidates for Kentucky governor in the Jan. 5-6 poll of 608 registered voters.

Attorney General John W. “Jack” Conway beats both leading Republicans Agriculture Commissioner James R. Comer, former envoy to Latvia Ambassador Catherine Todd Bailey, real estate developer Hal Heiner and businessman Matt Bevin, said Doug Kaplan, the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, the Florida-based pollster that conducted the poll. The poll carries a 4 percent margin of error.

Kentucky Attorney General John W. "Jack" Conway spoke at Jan. 13 Labor Unity Breakfast in Louisville, Kentucky. Conway, a Democrat, leads GOP candidates in the race for governor. (Courtesy of Conway campaign)

Kentucky Attorney General John W. “Jack” Conway spoke at Jan. 13 Labor Unity Breakfast in Louisville, Kentucky. Conway, a Democrat, leads GOP candidates in the race for governor. (Courtesy of Conway campaign)

The Kentucky Democratic and Republican primaries are held May 19 and the general election is Nov. 3.

Watch this video by James R. Comer:

“In the tightest scenario, pitted against Comer, Conway leads 40 percent to 37 percent,” Kaplan said.

“Conway leads Bailey 43 percent to 30 percent; he leads Heiner 43 percent to 34 percent and Bevin 44 percent to 36 percent,” he said.

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Cathy Bailey and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?

Governor3

If Conway wins, it is a personal vindication for a candidate, who has survived an ethics scandal and the 2010 loss in the his run for the Senate against Republican Sen. Randal H. “Rand” Paul.

Kentucky is a true hybrid state that at the same time is southern and midwestern, Kaplan said.

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Hal Heiner and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?

Governor2

“The Democratic Party never went away as it did in states from the Deep South,” he said. “Ten to 11 percent of the Kentucky workforce is union, compare that with North Carolina or Georgia that are between 3 and 4 percent.”

President Barack Obama has an approval rating in our poll of 35 percent, but the state has a Democratic governor now and could easily elect another one, he said.

The GOP primary is a very interesting field, he said. “Bevin disappointed conservatives by losing 60 to 36 percent to Sen. Mitch McConnell.” McConnell is the Senate Majority Leader.

Bevin, who spent $5 million against McConnell, is seen as having blown his chance to beat McConnell, but it is another thing for conservatives to switch to Bailey,” he said. “Bailey is close to Rand Paul, but she is really a part of the state’s GOP establishment.

In the general election, McConnell beat Secretary of State Allison Lundergan Grimes 56 percent to 41 percent.

In her own race to keep her job, Grimes is in a virtual tie, 47 percent to 46 percent, with Stephen Knipper, an information technology professional and executive for Catholic Health Initiatives, Kaplan said.

See other charts here: 

Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Approval of Obama

If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Matt Bevin and Democrat Jack Conway, who would you vote for?

Governor4If the election for Secretary of State were held today and the candidates were Republican Steve Knipper and Democrat Allison Lundergan Grimes, who would you vote for?

Secretary of StateIf the election for Attorney General were held today and the candidates were Republican Luke Morgan and Democrat Andy Beshear, who would you vote for?

Attorney GeneralIf the election for Treasurer were held today and the candidates were Republican Allison Ball and Democrat Rick Nelson, who would you vote for?

TreasurerIf the election for State Auditor were held today and the candidates were Republican John Kemper and Democrat Adam Edelen, who would you vote for?

AuditorIf the election for State Agriculture Commissioner were held today and the candidates were Republican Ryan Quarles and Democrat Jean-Marie Lawson, who would you vote for?

State Agriculture CommissionerThe following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

Party Are you Hispanic?

HispanicWhat race do you identify yourself as?

RaceWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliationWhat is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education CategoryHow old are you?

Age groupWhat is your gender?

GenderNote: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted by historical voting demographics.