Executive Summary
Winter Springs, Fla. – Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. conducted a random survey of 440 registered voters in Connecticut regarding potential candidates for both Federal and State elections between the dates of August 4th – August 7th, 2014.
The poll was completed using Gravis Marketing Internet Panels combined with traditional telephone responses. The results of this poll were weighted 20% via Gravis Internet Panels & 80% through telephone. The poll carries a margin of error of ± 5%.
The Gravis Marketing poll began asking currently registered voters in Connecticut ‘How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4th, 2014′. Among all 440 registered voters polled, 67% indicated that they were ‘very likely’ to vote, 26% stated they were ‘likely’ to vote while 7% stated they were ‘somewhat likely’.
In Federal political polling, there were three primary questions asked of those polled. When asked “Do you Approve or Disapprove of President Obama’s job performance”, 48% stated they ‘Disapprove’, 40% indicated they ‘Approve’ while 11% of the polling segment were ‘Unsure’.
The focus of the Gravis Marketing poll then shifted to potential candidates for the Office of President of the United States for the 2016 General Election. Voters in Connecticut were asked – “If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?” 45% indicated that they would vote for Democrat Hillary Clinton, 36% stated they would vote for Republican Dr. Ben Carson, while 19% remain ‘Unsure’.
Rounding out the Federal polling; when asked “If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for”, 48% indicated support for Clinton, while 33% stated they would vote for Republican Rand Paul and 18% were ‘Unsure’.
Focusing on state-wide elections to be held during the General Election on Nov. 4th, 2014, registered voters were asked “If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Tom Foley and Democrat Dan Malloy, whom would you vote for?” Republican Tom Foley received the majority of support, registering 46% of the polled segment, Democrat Dan Malloy received 38% and 16% of those polled were ‘Unsure’. When asked to choose between Republican John McKinney and Democrat Malloy, 46% favored McKinney, 38% continued to support Malloy, while 17% were ‘Unsure’.
In the contested battle for State Treasurer of Connecticut registered voters were asked, “If the election for Treasurer was held today and the candidates were Republican Tim Herbst, Democrat Denise Nappier, and Green Rolf Maurer, whom would you vote for?” Democrat Denise Nappier received the majority of support at 39%, Republican Tim Herbst received 28% support, 25% of those polled are ‘Unsure’ while Green Party candidate Rolf Maurer received 8% of the total segment.
How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4, 2014
Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican Tom Foley and Democrat Dan Malloy, whom would you vote for?
If the election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Republican John McKinney and Democrat Dan Malloy, whom would you vote for?
If the election for Treasurer were held today and the candidates were Republican Tim Herbst, Democrat Denise Nappier, and Green Rolf Maurer, whom would you vote for?
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Ben Carson and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?
If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?
In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of?
Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic, or Spanish speaking background?
What race do you identify yourself as?
Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
What is the highest level of education you have completed?
What is your gender?
How old are you?
Note: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and internet surveys and weighted according to historical voting demographics.
Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan research firm headquartered in Florida. Gravis Marketing is the recipient of the 2013 American Association of Political Consultants Award for 2012 Presidential Primary domestic and international phone calls.