Current National Polling
July 29, 2015
Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 1,535 registered voters across the U.S. regarding the presidential election. The sample includes 732 Republicans and 803 Democrats. The poll has a margin of error of ± 2.5%. The total may not round to 100% because of rounding. The polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted separately for each population in the question presented. The poll was conducted for One American News Network.
Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s Job Performance?
| Approval of Obama | ||||
| Demographic | Response | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure |
| Party | Democrat | 75.3% | 18.0% | 6.8% |
| Party | Republican | 11.7% | 85.9% | 2.3% |
| Political Ideology | Moderate | 50.50% | 40.70% | 8.80% |
| Political Ideology | Slightly conservative | 20.00% | 75.10% | 4.90% |
| Political Ideology | Slightly liberal | 69.8% | 27.0% | 3.2% |
| Political Ideology | Very conservative | 15.9% | 81.7% | 2.4% |
| Political Ideology | Very liberal | 96.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Tea Party | No | 48.00% | 47.00% | 5.00% |
| Tea Party | Yes | 16.10% | 82.00% | 1.80% |
| Firearms | No | 56.30% | 37.40% | 6.30% |
| Firearms | Yes | 32.20% | 64.90% | 3.0% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Choice | 64.80% | 30.50% | 4.7% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Life | 19.50% | 77.40% | 3.1% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Unsure | 49.10% | 38.80% | 12.1% |
| Hispanic | No | 43.80% | 51.90% | 4.30% |
| Hispanic | Yes | 41.00% | 52.10% | 6.90% |
| Race | African-American | 81.30% | 16.00% | 2.70% |
| Race | Asian | 58.10% | 34.90% | 7.00% |
| Race | Don’t wish to answer | 60.40% | 36.60% | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic | 41.00% | 52.10% | 6.9% |
| Race | Other | 48.3% | 37.9% | 13.8% |
| Race | White | 34.6% | 60.9% | 4.4% |
| Religious affiliation | Catholic | 41.60% | 53.30% | 5.10% |
| Religious affiliation | Evangelical Christian | 22.30% | 76.90% | 0.80% |
| Religious affiliation | Jewish | 62.50% | 25.00% | 12.50% |
| Religious affiliation | Muslim | 75.0% | 13.9% | 11.1% |
| Religious affiliation | Other | 69.8% | 26.6% | 3.6% |
| Religious affiliation | Protestant | 33.4% | 62.1% | 4.5% |
| Education category | Bachelors | 38.00% | 59.30% | 2.70% |
| Education category | HS | 39.50% | 53.60% | 6.90% |
| Education category | Post grad | 52.10% | 44.80% | 3.10% |
| Education category | Some college | 43.3% | 52.3% | 4.4% |
| Education category | Some HS | 47.8% | 40.2% | 12.0% |
| Age group | 18-49 | 48.20% | 49.70% | 2.10% |
| Age group | 50-64 | 40.60% | 53.80% | 5.50% |
| Age group | 65+ | 40.10% | 52.90% | 7.00% |
| Gender | Female | 43.30% | 50.10% | 6.60% |
| Gender | Male | 43.80% | 53.90% | 2.30% |
Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 GOP Candidate would you vote for?
| Republican Primary | |||||||||||||||||
| Demographic | Response | Ben Carson | Bobby Jindal | Carly Fiorina | Chris Christie | Donald Trump | George Pataki | Jeb Bush | John Kasich | Lindsey Graham | Marco Rubio | Mike Huckabee | Rand Paul | Rick Perry | Rick Santorum | Scott Walker | Ted Cruz |
| Political Ideology | Moderate | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 4.8 | 33.7 | 22.9 | 9.0 | 0.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 9.0 | 3.0 | |
| Political Ideology | Slightly conservative | 5.8 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 31.5 | 0.4 | 10.4 | 5.8 | 0.4 | 7.9 | 5.0 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 10.0 | 3.7 | |
| Political Ideology | Slightly liberal | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 36.4 | 3.0 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 12.1 | 3.0 | 6.1 | 3.0 | ||||
| Political Ideology | Very conservative | 8.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 28.7 | 8.2 | 2.1 | 4.6 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 18.1 | 9.2 | ||
| Political Ideology | Very liberal | 90.9 | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||
| Tea Party | No | 5.5 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 30.3 | 0.2 | 16.0 | 5.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 12.3 | 3.9 |
| Tea Party | Yes | 8.5 | 0.6 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 32.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 13.4 | 11.6 | ||
| Firearms | No | 4.9 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 25.5 | 0.4 | 17.0 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 15.4 | 5.3 |
| Firearms | Yes | 6.7 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.7 | 33.3 | 0.2 | 11.5 | 5.1 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 0.6 | 11.0 | 5.7 |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Choice | 3.5 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 4.8 | 33.9 | 20.7 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6.6 | 3.5 | |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Life | 7.8 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 30.7 | 0.2 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 5.4 | 7.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 15.2 | 6.7 |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Unsure | 2.3 | 9.1 | 13.6 | 25.0 | 9.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 15.9 | 4.5 | |||
| Hispanic | No | 6.3 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 30.2 | 0.1 | 13.5 | 5.4 | 0.7 | 4.4 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 13.2 | 5.1 |
| Hispanic | Yes | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 37.8 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 13.3 | ||||||
| Race | African-American | 13.0 | 17.4 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 39.1 | 8.7 | 8.7 | 4.3 | ||||||||
| Race | Asian | 14.3 | 42.9 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 14.3 | |||||||||||
| Race | Don’t wish to answer | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | |||||
| Race | Hispanic | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 37.8 | 2.2 | 8.9 | 20.0 | 6.7 | 2.2 | 13.3 | ||||||
| Race | Other | 6.7 | 26.7 | 53.3 | 6.7 | 6.7 | |||||||||||
| Race | White | 6.6 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 31.1 | 0.2 | 12.2 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 4.9 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 14.7 | 5.2 |
| Religious affiliation | Catholic | 3.4 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 5.6 | 40.4 | 0.6 | 9.6 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 11.8 | 6.7 |
| Religious affiliation | Evangelical Christian | 11.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 26.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 13.8 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 24.1 | 4.6 | ||
| Religious affiliation | Jewish | 14.3 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 14.3 | 42.9 | |||||||||||
| Religious affiliation | Muslim | 85.7 | 14.3 | ||||||||||||||
| Religious affiliation | Other | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 33.8 | 23.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 5.4 | 10.8 | 2.7 | |||||
| Religious affiliation | Protestant | 7.1 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 25.5 | 0.3 | 15.2 | 6.6 | 0.8 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.3 | 11.0 | 6.0 |
| Education category | Bachelors | 6.5 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 27.6 | 0.5 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 7.5 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 12.6 | 6.5 |
| Education category | HS | 6.8 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 23.5 | 17.4 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 5.3 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 13.6 | 3.8 | ||
| Education category | Post grad | 2.2 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 35.8 | 17.9 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 11.2 | 3.0 | |||
| Education category | Some college | 7.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 32.5 | 0.4 | 11.0 | 5.7 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 13.6 | 8.3 |
| Education category | Some HS | 7.7 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 50.0 | 11.5 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.8 | ||||||
| Age group | 18-49 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 29.9 | 13.7 | 1.3 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 8.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 13.7 | 7.3 | ||||
| Age group | 50-64 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 35.0 | 0.5 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 5.5 |
| Age group | 65+ | 7.2 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 28.0 | 0.4 | 17.2 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 5.4 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 13.3 | 3.9 |
| Gender | Female | 9.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 27.4 | 16.9 | 6.0 | 0.6 | 4.3 | 6.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 4.6 | |
| Gender | Male | 3.1 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 33.9 | 0.3 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 14.6 | 6.5 | |
Assuming you had to vote today, which 2016 Democrat Candidate would you vote for?
| Democratic Primary | ||||||||
| Demographic | Response | Bernie Sanders | Elizabeth Warren | Hillary Clinton | Jim Webb | Joe Biden | Lincoln Chafee | Martin O’Malley |
| Political Ideology | Moderate | 15.9% | 11.4% | 54.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| Political Ideology | Slightly conservative | 6.6% | 6.6% | 64.8% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% |
| Political Ideology | Slightly liberal | 22.9% | 6.5% | 56.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Political Ideology | Very conservative | 5.1% | 3.8% | 59.5% | 2.5% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Political Ideology | Very liberal | 28.7% | 12.2% | 46.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | |
| Tea Party | No | 19.1% | 9.2% | 53.7% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% |
| Tea Party | Yes | 5.0% | 7.5% | 77.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Firearms | No | 16.8% | 6.6% | 60.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% |
| Firearms | Yes | 21.1% | 12.6% | 47.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Choice | 21.9% | 8.6% | 56.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Pro-Life | 10.7% | 12.7% | 50.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 0.5% | 4.1% |
| Pro-Life|Pro-Choice | Unsure | 13.9% | 1.4% | 56.9% | 4.2% | 20.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| Hispanic | No | 18.1% | 8.9% | 55.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% |
| Hispanic | Yes | 20.5% | 10.8% | 48.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 1.2% | |
| Race | African-American | 9.7% | 2.7% | 69.0% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | |
| Race | Asian | 100.0% | ||||||
| Race | Don’t wish to answer | 32.1% | 1.9% | 35.8% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 1.9% | |
| Race | Hispanic | 20.5% | 10.8% | 48.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 1.2% | |
| Race | Other | 13.3% | 28.9% | 48.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | |
| Race | White | 19.9% | 9.4% | 53.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 4.1% |
| Religious affiliation | Catholic | 18.7% | 12.4% | 56.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Religious affiliation | Evangelical Christian | 8.0% | 8.0% | 72.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | ||
| Religious affiliation | Jewish | 31.8% | 9.1% | 43.2% | 2.3% | 11.4% | 2.3% | |
| Religious affiliation | Muslim | 22.2% | 3.7% | 70.4% | 3.7% | |||
| Religious affiliation | Other | 22.7% | 9.6% | 52.8% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Religious affiliation | Protestant | 13.2% | 7.0% | 54.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 1.0% | 4.9% |
| Education category | Bachelors | 19.8% | 10.4% | 52.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 0.5% | 3.1% |
| Education category | HS | 16.2% | 2.7% | 61.3% | 3.6% | 11.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Education category | Post grad | 23.0% | 9.7% | 52.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Education category | Some college | 18.1% | 7.4% | 54.9% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 0.9% | 3.7% |
| Education category | Some HS | 4.3% | 17.4% | 59.4% | 4.3% | 14.5% | ||
| Age group | 18-49 | 19.9% | 12.7% | 47.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% |
| Age group | 50-64 | 20.7% | 6.2% | 58.7% | 3.3% | 8.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% |
| Age group | 65+ | 12.7% | 6.6% | 60.9% | 3.6% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Gender | Female | 16.9% | 7.2% | 60.0% | 1.9% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Gender | Male | 20.1% | 11.1% | 49.2% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 4.3% |
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Jeb Bush, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Scott Walker, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Rand Paul, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Ted Cruz, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Ben Carson, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Carly Fiorina, who would you vote for?
The following questions are for demographic purposes:
What is your party affiliation?
What is your political ideology?
Do you consider yourself a member of the Tea Party?
Do you or anyone in your family own a gun or firearm?
Do you consider yourself to be Pro-Life or Pro-Choice when it comes to the question of whether or not abortion should be legal?
Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking background?
What race do you identify yourself as?
Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
What is the highest level of education have you completed?
How old are you?
What is your gender?
