Gravis Marketing conducted a poll in Minnesota and found Former Vice President Joe Biden opening up a solid 17-point edge over President Donald Trump. In 2016, Hillary Clinton narrowly carried the state of Minnesota by a point and a half while losing other midwestern states that Obama had carried twice including Iowa, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. A 17-point win for Joe Biden would mark the largest margin for a presidential candidate in the state of Minnesota since Lyndon Johnson’s 1964 landslide. When the 10% of voters who said they are undecided were forced to make a choice, they backed Trump by a 6-point margin. When combined, this narrowed the margin a bit to 16 points. In the poll, Biden earns the support of 85% of self-identified Democrats (in Minnesota, the Democratic party is the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party) and 51% of self-identified independents while Trump is at 73% of self-identified Republicans and 34% of self-identified independents. When undecideds are pushed, Biden gets 90% of Democrats and Trump gets 81% of Republicans. Minnesota (June 19, 2020) Poll Results
According to the poll, President Trump has a job approval rating in the state of Minnesota at 42% approve and 56% disapprove. 83% of Republicans approve of the job the President is doing while 84% of Democrats disapprove. The elected official Minnesotans approve of the most at this time is Governor Tim Walz who earns a 61%-37% approval split. One third of Republicans in the poll indicated that they approve of the job Walz has done as Governor. Minnesota’s two Senators also receive positive marks with Amy Klobuchar at 55%-36% and Tina Smith at 46%-36%.
Voters were asked about the guilt of the four officers charged in the death of George Floyd and most have an opinion. 51% indicated that they believe all four charged Minneapolis police officers are guilty while 29% said only Derek Chauvin is guilty and 4% said that none of the officers are guilty. 55% of voters approve of the decision to put Attorney General Keith Ellison in charge of the prosecution of the four officers while 34% disapprove.
When asked about recent protests around the country, 60% of Minnesota voters have a somewhat or mostly positive view of the protests while 36% have a somewhat or mostly negative view. 57% approve of the Black Lives Matter movement while 38% disapprove.
There is broad approval for the local police departments of voters. 68% approve of the job performance of their local police department with 17% disapproving. When asked specifically about the Minneapolis police department, 62% indicated that the department should be reformed, 9% want the department defunded, 8% said demilitarized, 7% want it disbanded, and 14% feel that no change is needed. 23% of Republicans feel that no change is needed while 6% say disband, 4% say demilitarize, 2% say defund and 64% say reformed. 6% of Democrats feel that no change is needed while 17% say defund, 9% say disband, 10% say demilitarize and 58% say reformed. 65% of independents want the department reformed and 5% want the department disbanded.
This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research p2p texting and data firm. This poll of 600 registered voters in Minnesota was conducted on June 19th and has a margin of error of ±4%. This survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. This poll was not commissioned by any campaign committee or other organization and was paid for by Gravis Marketing. Results are weighted by voting demographics. Questions can be directed to the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, Doug Kaplan.