Wisconsin Phone Survey Scott Walker ahead by 5%

Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random phone survey by automated calls to landlines of 988 registered Wisconsin voters regarding current events and the upcoming election. The telephone survey was conducted 3-17-2014. The opinion poll carries a margin of error of ± 4%.

Obama’s approval rating down in latest opinion poll

Across all party identifications, President Obama’s approval rating was 40% with 11% expressing uncertainly. When viewed on party identification, the President’s disapproval rating was nearly 97% among Republicans, 47.1% among Independents and 10.2% among Democrats.

Voters were polled “If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Scott Walker, or Democrat Mary Burke?” Among all voters, 49% indicated a preference for Scott Walker (R) while only 44% said they would vote for Mary Burke (D). When looking at these data on the level of party identification, the election for Governor appears to be following partisan lines with 82.5% of Democrats voters supporting Burke and 91.1% of Republican voters supporting Walker. Independents were split between Burke and Walker 37.7% and 47.4% respectively.

Regarding other Federal government policy issues, when asked in the phone survey, “Should the federal government regulate video games that use firearm scenarios? 47% of voters indicated No while 29% indicated video games should be regulated in this manner with 24% expressing uncertainty. When asked, “Should the federal government approve firearm transactions before they are completed?” 42% of voters taking the public opinion poll indicated there should not be regulation while 36% expressed that firearm transactions should be approved by the Federal government. 22% of those polled said they were unsure as to the Federal government role in approving firearm transactions. When asked, “Should mothers serving in the military be ordered into combat zones? 39% indicated No with 33% indicating Yes, and 37% stating they were unsure. When asked, “Would you support amnesty for illegal aliens? 60% of voters expressed opposition to amnesty for illegal aliens while 21% indicated support for an amnesty while only 19% expressed uncertainty.

When breaking these results down on the variable of party identification, the responses to this question became muddied with over just over 70% of Democrats opposing an amnesty or expressing uncertainty and 85% of independents indicating opposition or uncertainty. Republican voters largely opposed an amnesty at 84.7%.

The Gravis telephone surveys are conducted using automated calls contacting registered voter lists provided by the State of Wisconsin.

 Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for Republican Scott Walker, or Democrat Mary Burke? Should the federal government regulate video games that use firearm scenarios? Should the federal government approve firearm transactions before they are completed? Should mothers serving in the military be ordered into combat zones? Would you support amnesty for illegal aliens?

The following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation? Are you Hispanic? What race do you identify yourself as? Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? What is the highest level of education you have completed? How old are you? What is your gender? Note: the polls were conducted using hosted IVR software and technology and the results were weighted according to historical voting demographics. 

Gravis is a political advertising agency, working with political consulting firms and campaigns and has developed predictive dialer software for campaigns.