Results for July 24, 2014
Executive Summary
Human Events and Gravis Marketing conducted a random survey of 781 registered likely voters in Montana regarding statewide candidates by automated calls to landlines and live calls to mobile phones on 7/24/14. The poll carries a margin of error of 3.5% with a 95% confidence level. The results follow.
Gravis Marketing’s latest survey of the Montana Senate race revealed that Steve Daines (R) has increased his over the embattled John Walsh (D). Daines currently leads Walsh 45% to 38% with the Libertarian candidate Roger Roots receiving 9% support in the poll. This is a change from a previous poll conducted by Garvis Marketing released earlier this week showing Walsh trailing only by 4 points (45% to 41%). “This sudden change from respondents might have to do with the fact that Montanans are just learning that John Walsh may have plagiarized his master thesis in college,” said Cherie Bereta Hymel the head of Gravis Marketing. He added, “Now it looks like Steve Daines is the clear favorite for taking this seat for the Republicans.”
Do approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?
If the election for Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Steve Daines, Democrat John Walsh, and Libertarian Roger Roots, whom would you vote for?
How likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4 2014?
The following questions are for demographic purposes.
What is your political party affiliation?
Are you Hispanic?
What race do you identify yourself as?
Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
What is the highest level of education you have completed?
How old are you?
What is your gender?
Note: the polls were conducted using IVR technology and weighted by historical voting demographics.