October Kentucky Polling of Likely Voters

Harrison Thomas By Harrison Thomas October 14, 2014

October 11 – 12, 2014

Executive Summary

Winter Springs, Fla. – Online Political Magazine Human Events and Gravis Marketing; a non-partisan political marketing company based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random survey of 1,020 likely registered voters in Kentucky regarding current events. The Kentucky poll was completed using Hosted IVR Software – Automated Phone Calls powered by Gravis Marketing and poll carries a margin of error of plus / minus 3 percent.

Federal Political Polling Recap

The first question asked of Kentucky voters had to do with their opinion of the job performance of President Barack Obama. 50 percent of those polled indicated that they align themselves with the Democratic Party, 39 percent lean towards the Republican Party affiliation and only 11 percent indicated they were Independent voters. With the large amount of Democratic voters representing the majority of those polled, it comes as a surprise that nearly 58 percent of those in Kentucky stated they currently disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job approval. 36 percent indicated they approve of his job performance while 6 percent are currently unsure.

The voters in Kentucky were then asked to choose between potential Presidential candidates for the upcoming General Election in 2016. Kentucky Senator Rand Paul represented the Republican ticket in this hypothetical match-up and paired up against Hillary Clinton or Elizabeth Warren who are potential Democratic candidates. Paul received the majority in both survey’s; leading Clinton by 3 points and leading Warren by a 13-point margin.

The Kentucky likely voters were also asked about their choice of for the State Senator seat between Incumbent Mitch McConnell or Democrat Alison Lundgren Grimes. “If the race for election for US Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundgren Grimes, whom would you vote for?” With only a few weeks before the November 4th general election, McConnell currently holds a 50 percent to 47 percent lead over Lundgren Grimes – with only 4 percent uncertain at this moment.

Finally, the voters were asked; “Should Congress pass legislation overriding the ability of states to legalize and regulate online gambling?” 46 percent stated they were unsure whether or not this was a good idea, 39 percent were opposed to Congress passing legislation overriding the ability of States to legalize and regulate online gambling while 14 percent believe Congress should pass the proposed legislation.

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s job performance?

Approval of ObamaIf the race for election for US Senate were held today and the candidates were Republican Mitch McConnell and Democrat Alison Lundgren Grimes, whom would you vote for?

SenateIf the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Hillary Clinton, whom would you vote for?

President Paul or Clinton If the election for President were held today and the candidates were Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Elizabeth Warren, whom would you vote for?

President Paul or WarrenAre you comfortable with federal authorities bringing illegal aliens into Kentucky from the Mexican border?

Illegal Aliens Should Congress pass legislation overriding the ability of states to legalize and regulate online gambling?

GamblingHow likely are you to vote in the General Election on November 4, 2014?

Likelihood of VotingThe following questions are for demographic purposes.

What is your political party affiliation?

PartyAre you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic, or Spanish speaking background?

Hispanic What race do you identify yourself as?

RaceWhich of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliation What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Education CategoryHow old are you?

Age groupWhat is your gender?

GenderNote: the polls were conducted using automated telephone and the results weighed according to anticipated voting demographics.