In the state of South Carolina where a Democratic nominee for President has not won since Jimmy Carter in 1976, a new Gravis Marketing poll indicates the race may be quite close with President Donald Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden by four points, 50%-46%. Biden holds a 74-point lead among black voters in the state, while Trump wins the white vote by 35 points. The gender gap gives Biden a 51%-47% advantage among women, while Trump holds a 53%-41% advantage among men.
Looking at the Senate race, Lindsey Graham has the advantage, but only holds a 7-point lead compared to the 15.5 points he won re-election by in 2014. Graham’s expanded lead over Donald Trump is despite winning white voters by a slightly smaller 31-point margin. Graham, however, gets the black vote deficit down to 53 points, the female vote down to a 2-point deficit and wins the male vote by an extra 5 points. Graham benefits from a 50% approval rating in the state compared to a 42% disapproval mark. Voters are split over the relationship between Graham and Trump with 36% of voters believing that Graham is “too close” to President Trump compared to 21% saying “about right” and 6% saying “not close enough.” A 37% plurality of voters indicate that they are uncertain.
The Gravis poll finds junior Senator Tim Scott quite popular with a 60% approval rating with only 28% disapproving of the job he is doing as Senator. Governor McMaster receives a 52%-41% approval split. 53% of voters indicate that they approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as President, while 44% of voters disapprove.
Voters are split 43%-40% over whether they support schools reopening this fall for in-person instruction. When asked if reopening schools will lead to an increase in coronavirus-related deaths, 46% indicate they believe that will be that result, while 34% do not. In response to the rise in coronavirus cases in the state, voters were asked about who they feel is responsible. 27% indicate that they believe the president is responsible, while 11% indicate they blame the Governor. 23% of respondents blame protestors while 10% indicate local officials and 21% say “no one in particular.”
This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 604 registered, likely voters in South Carolina was conducted on July 17th and has a margin of error of ±4.0%. This survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. This poll was not commissioned by any campaign committee or other organization and was paid for by Gravis Marketing. Results are weighted by voting demographics. Telephone Townhall Questions can be directed to the Gravis Research Team.