California Poll Results Gravis Marketing 2021

Gravis Research By Gravis Research September 7, 2021

Swing Voters Will Determine if Governor Newsom Remains Governor of California

Winter Springs, FL – Gravis Marketing conducted a poll with likely voters for California Gubernatorial Recall Election that will be occurring on September 14th, 2021. Of the respondents, when asked regarding whether Governor Newsom should be recalled, 49% said “No.” Meanwhile, 44% of those asked stated they would recall the Governor, 7% remained uncertain.

The participants were then asked about whom they would likely vote for on the second question if Governor Newsom were recalled. Of the choices, Republican candidate and Radio host Larry Elder led with 21% of the vote, followed by Democratic candidate and Youtube personality Kevin Paffrath with 12%. Many respondents would prefer another candidate than was asked, about 15%. The closest candidate after Edler and Paffrath is former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, another Republican candidate.

Governor Newsom’s approval and disapproval are very similar to the current results of the first question for the recall election. Currently, 51% either strongly approve or somewhat approve of the Governor’s job performance. Also, 44% strongly disapprove or somewhat disapprove of Governor Newsom’s job performance. President Biden’s job approval in California is very similar to Governor Newsom’s as well with 53% of likely voters approving of President Biden’s job performance and 45% disapproving.

Regardless of who wins the election, voters in the state have different thoughts on how the 2020 Presidential Election and the 2021 Recall Election is being conducted. Currently, 66% of respondents believe that President Joe Biden legitimately won the 2020 Presidential Election, compared to 27% who believe the election was stolen from President Donald Trump. When asked about the 2021 recall election, voters were far less certain. Only 48% of voters are confident in the integrity of the recall election’s results and 36% are not confident in the integrity of the recall election.

The random survey of 729 likely California voters was conducted from August 25th to August 27th and has a margin of error of 3.6%. 


California (August 27, 2021) by Gravis